Asked Oct 19, 10:02 AM EDT (morning session). Muse Spark 1.1, Perplexity, Grok 4.5, GPT-6, Claude Sonnet 5.5 and Gemini 3 Pro answered the same standard prompt independently. Window: from Oct 19, 10:02 AM EDT to Oct 20, 10:02 AM EDT, the same time one session later. Benchmark: SPY.
Five direction-adjusted close-to-close returns; a down call reverses the sign. The score is the mean signed return, without subtracting the benchmark. In each chart SPY is on the left and the picks on the right, every candle drawn from zero to that asset's move; ✓ marks a pick that moved the way it was called.
| Model | Correct | Hit rate | Return | SPY | Directional return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muse Spark 1.1 | 3/5 | 60.00% | 0.16% | 0.22% | 0.16% |
| Perplexity | 3/5 | 60.00% | 0.04% | 0.22% | 0.04% |
| Grok 4.5 | 2/5 | 40.00% | 0.04% | 0.22% | 0.04% |
| GPT-6 | 2/5 | 40.00% | -1.62% | 0.22% | -1.62% |
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | 4/5 | 80.00% | 0.25% | 0.22% | 0.25% |
| Gemini 3 Pro | 2/5 | 40.00% | -1.79% | 0.22% | -1.79% |
Muse Spark 1.1
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Source session is Friday Oct 16 selloff extended into Monday Oct 19 premarket Oct 19. Tech security was weak while energy, steel, and select biotech/small-cap AI hardware names led premarket gainers. Market is in rotation with oversold tech bounce potential but continued pressure on names with specific negative catalysts like PANW CVE. Favor continuation in intraday momentum leaders with substantive catalysts and reversal for oversold large-cap chip after Friday washout.
- IRON up — confidence 75%. Top gainer today Oct 19 +32.83% to $75.50 on weeklytrader.io. Disc Medicine clinical catalyst driving move. Substantive biotech catalyst. Quote used is intraday delayed from gainers page Oct 19, not stale close. Market cap $2.18B confirmed via WallStreetZen and finnhub. Previous change +32.83% source session. Continuation up thesis: biotech momentum often carries into next session close.
Return: 3.53%; alpha: 3.31%. - AXTI up — confidence 68%. Gainer Oct 19 +7.76% to $55.47. AXT Inc AI substrate maker, part of AI infrastructure bottleneck theme. Market cap $3.73B per finnhub.io. Price >=$5 and dollar volume >$20M daily given 2.8M shares * $55. Price is intraday delayed Oct 19 from same gainers table. Continuation up on AI hardware rotation.
Return: -2.60%; alpha: -2.82%. - CLF up — confidence 65%. Cleveland-Cliffs +7.55% to $13.04 premarket Oct 19 on $4B outlook update. Steel/iron ore strength. Market cap $6.96B per finnhub.io. Substantive earnings outlook catalyst. Reference price from weeklytrader.io gainers list intraday Oct 19. Dollar volume: 18.77M avg volume * $12 price = >$200M, passes $20M floor. Continuation up on materials rotation.
Return: 0.77%; alpha: 0.55%. - INTC up — confidence 62%. Intel +3.74% to $93.21 premarket Oct 19 after -5.8% drop Friday Oct 16. Reversal candidate but playing continuation of today's bounce. Market cap $496.74B per finnhub.io, price $93.57 current, previous close $89.85. Average volume 18M+ ensures dollar volume >$20M. Catalyst is JPMorgan upgrade and oversold bounce after worst week since June. Previous change +3.74% today intraday.
Return: -2.86%; alpha: -3.08%. - PANW down — confidence 60%. Palo Alto Networks -7.63% on Oct 16 to $342.00 due to CISA adding CVE-2026-0322 PAN-OS RCE to Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog. Reported by ChartMill and MarketBeat Oct 16. Market value $280.39B. Security selloff catalyst is substantive not speculative. Previous change -7.63% is source session drop. Playing continuation down as vulnerability overhang persists. Reference price $342 intraday Oct 16 close. Dollar volume: 6.8M shares * $342 = >$2B.
Return: -1.94%; alpha: 1.72%.
Perplexity
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US equities are rebounding early on October 19 after the prior week's AI-led selloff, with semiconductor and AI-infrastructure names recovering while Cleveland-Cliffs reacts to better-than-expected earnings. I favor continuation in names with substantive, company-specific catalysts (CLF earnings and INTC upgrade) and favor reversals in high-beta AI-infrastructure and clinical-stage biotech movers whose advances look more speculative.
- CLF up — confidence 60%. Cleveland-Cliffs is the strongest continuation candidate: it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $0.28 versus roughly $0.21-0.24 consensus, described the quarter as its strongest in three years, and guided Q4 adjusted EBITDA to about $715 million. This is a substantive earnings-and-guidance catalyst, not merely a technical bounce. The quoted reference price is the pre-market quote of $13.48 at 6:19 AM ET on October 19, so it is stale relative to the regular session; the source-session move versus the October 16 close was +11.22%. Market cap and reference price pass the stated floors; I could not verify the 20-day average dollar volume from the available source, so that field is omitted and treated as unverified. Main risk is fade after an earnings gap, especially with revenue slightly below consensus and an Underweight Barclays rating.
Return: 0.77%; alpha: 0.55%. - INTC up — confidence 55%. Intel rose about 4% pre-market after JPMorgan upgraded the shares to Neutral from Underweight, citing improving confidence in management execution; the move also benefited from a broad semiconductor rebound. The catalyst is substantive but only moderately so, because the upgrade maintained an $85 target below the quoted price. The reference price is the pre-market quote of $93.60 at 8:05 AM ET on October 19; the source-session move versus the October 16 close was +4.17%. Price and market cap pass the floors; the 20-day average dollar volume could not be verified from the available source and is omitted. Risks include a reversal if the upgrade is treated as a sell-side lag rather than a new fundamental catalyst, plus continued AI-sector volatility.
Return: -2.86%; alpha: -3.08%. - NBIS down — confidence 45%. Nebius bounced about 4% pre-market with other neocloud names, but the rebound follows a sharp week-long selloff driven by funding-cost and AI-capex concerns. I classify this as a reversal lower: the early bounce appears speculative relative to the still-unresolved debt and financing narrative, and the stock had already shown extreme downside volatility. The reference price is the pre-market quote of $172.38 at 6:06 AM ET on October 19; the source-session move versus the October 16 close was +4.18%. Price and market cap pass the floors; the 20-day average dollar volume was not verifiable from the available source and is omitted. Risks include a stronger AI-infrastructure rebound or company-specific positive news that extends the bounce.
Return: -1.25%; alpha: 1.03%. - CRWV down — confidence 45%. CoreWeave gained only about 1.3% pre-market after falling roughly 25% in the prior week on concerns over its debt load and AI-infrastructure financing costs. The bounce looks speculative: reporting highlighted bond-yield pressure and a roughly $50 billion debt burden, even though some analysts argued the selloff was overdone. I expect a reversal lower. The reference price is the pre-market quote of $62.20 at 5:14 AM ET on October 19; the source-session move versus the October 16 close was +1.32%. Price and market cap pass the floors; the 20-day average dollar volume was not verifiable from the available source and is omitted. The principal risk is a violent short-covering rebound if AI credit fears ease.
Return: -4.55%; alpha: 4.33%. - IRON down — confidence 40%. Disc Medicine was among the largest pre-market gainers, with reported moves of roughly +28% to +33%, ahead of its webcast to discuss topline results from the Phase 3 APOLLO trial of bitopertin in erythropoietic protoporphyria. The catalyst is event-driven and speculative until the actual data are released, so I expect a reversal lower from the outsized advance. The reference price of $75.97 is from the October 19 pre-market mover table; the source-session move versus the October 16 close was +33.42%. Price and market cap pass the floors; the 20-day average dollar volume could not be verified from the available sources and is omitted. Risks are high: positive trial data could sustain or extend the rally, while the stale quote makes the entry reference less precise.
Return: 3.53%; alpha: -3.75%.
Grok 4.5
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Energy names led Friday gains on crude strength while tech and high-beta hardware sold off hard on AI-debt and valuation concerns. Expect selective continuation in energy and partial mean-reversion in oversold large-cap tech/hardware on Monday as oil remains firm and short-covering emerges.
- CRGY up — confidence 68%. Crescent Energy gained 10.07% on Friday with the energy complex on higher crude. Substantive sector catalyst (oil prices) supports continuation higher rather than immediate fade. Reference price is the live intraday quote near 10:00 ET on 19 Oct; prior-session close was 13.77. Market-cap and volume floors clearly cleared.
Return: -0.80%; alpha: -1.01%. - AR up — confidence 65%. Antero Resources rose 6.06% Friday alongside other E&P names on the crude rally. Energy-sector momentum is the primary driver and is still intact, favoring continuation. Live quote used for reference_price; Friday close was 38.65. All liquidity and size screens passed.
Return: -0.23%; alpha: -0.45%. - TWLO down — confidence 62%. Twilio dropped 10.6% Friday in the broad tech/software sell-off. No company-specific positive catalyst has appeared; the move was sector-driven, so further downside or limited bounce is the base case (continuation lower). Live/delayed quote near 251 used; Friday close 244.37. Large-cap liquidity confirmed.
Return: 2.00%; alpha: -2.22%. - SMCI down — confidence 60%. Super Micro fell 9.86% Friday amid the semiconductor/AI hardware rout. Valuation and AI-debt concerns remain the dominant narrative; expect residual selling pressure rather than sharp reversal. Intraday quote around 33 used; Friday close 31.63. High average dollar volume verified.
Return: -3.07%; alpha: 2.86%. - VICR down — confidence 58%. Vicor declined 12.92% Friday after a multi-day slide linked to broader tech weakness and profit-taking. No fresh positive catalyst; continuation of the down move is the higher-probability path near term. Live quote near 200 used; Friday close 191.50. Market-cap and volume thresholds met.
Return: -0.13%; alpha: -0.08%.
GPT-6
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The source session is Friday, October 16, 2026. The S&P 500 declined 1.11% and the Nasdaq Composite declined approximately 2.1%, with technology and AI-related stocks under substantial pressure. Energy stocks outperformed as Brent crude approached $110 per barrel amid substantive Middle Eastern supply disruptions. Monday's early trading shows a technology rebound while crude oil retreats, favoring selective reversals among Friday's technology losers and profit-taking in some energy winners. The five selections comprise two Friday gainers and three Friday losers. Candidates were screened against the October 16 regular-session closing price of at least $5, market capitalization of at least $1 billion, and 20-session average daily dollar volume of at least $20 million. Market capitalizations are October 16 source-session figures reported by StockAnalysis, expanded from their displayed billion-dollar units. The 20-day average dollar volumes were independently calculated as the arithmetic mean of daily closing price multiplied by reported share volume over the 20 sessions ending October 16, using StockAnalysis historical data. These are close-price-based dollar-volume estimates, not transaction-level VWAP turnover, and are truncated to whole USD. Reference prices are the latest explicitly timestamped October 19 intraday quotes retrieved, rather than October 16 closing prices. Primary evaluation is the mean signed return across five selections, using end/start-1 for up and its negative for down, together with the fraction of correct directions. The requested October 19 to October 20 evaluation window has not finished, so neither realized score nor realized direction accuracy is available. Market-mover screening sources: https://stocksetups.com/movers/nyse and https://stocksetups.com/movers/nasdaq. Oil-market context: https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/oil-slips-trumps-sanction-waiver-may-lead-more-russian-fuel-supplies-2026-10-18/
- BSP up — confidence 63%. REVERSAL UP. Bending Spoons was among the largest eligible Nasdaq losers on October 16, declining 15.60% from $55.77 to $47.07 after gaining 41.20% on October 14. The substantive catalyst was Berkshire Hathaway's additional $330 million investment, increasing its total investment commitment to approximately $930 million. Friday's decline appears primarily attributable to profit-taking and speculative valuation compression following an exceptionally rapid advance, rather than a confirmed reversal of the Berkshire investment. Monday's observed recovery supports a possible short-term rebound. The stock remains exceptionally volatile, however, and its elevated valuation, acquisition-related leverage, and potential additional selling from recent momentum traders create substantial downside risks. The direction prediction is up relative to the source-session decline, regardless of Monday's opening gap. The reference price is an intraday quote at 10:10 AM EDT on October 19, approximately two minutes before the supplied current-time context, not the October 16 close. The October 16 market capitalization was approximately $28.28 billion. The calculated 20-session average daily close-based dollar volume was approximately $181.56 million. Sources describe the Berkshire investment as substantive and the subsequent trading reversal as substantially positioning-driven and speculative.
Return: -7.82%; alpha: -8.04%. - IONQ down — confidence 61%. CONTINUATION DOWN. IonQ declined 8.94% on October 16, closing at $31.28 versus $34.35 in the preceding session. The decline followed a substantive $2 billion equity financing announcement involving approximately 20.5 million common shares and 29.5 million prefunded warrants priced at $40, alongside dilution concerns surrounding its Elisity acquisition. These are identifiable corporate developments rather than an unexplained speculative selloff. Although the capital raise strengthens liquidity and commercialization capacity, the company faces substantial execution risk, ongoing losses, and pressure on highly valued quantum-computing equities. Repeated sharp declines during the preceding trading sessions suggest persistent selling pressure. A technology-sector rebound, short covering, or renewed enthusiasm for quantum commercialization could reverse the predicted decline. The forecast remains down, meaning continuation of Friday's negative previous_change_percent even if an opening gap is positive. The latest explicitly timestamped intraday quote verified was $31.18 at 9:49 AM EDT on October 19, approximately 23 minutes before the supplied current-time context; newer consistently timestamped pricing could not be confirmed. October 16 market capitalization was approximately $13.43 billion. The calculated 20-session average daily close-based dollar volume was approximately $1.082 billion. The financing and acquisition are substantive catalysts; potential further selling is the forecast inference.
Return: 1.67%; alpha: -1.88%. - TWLO up — confidence 60%. REVERSAL UP. Twilio was the largest S&P 500 decliner on October 16, falling 10.62% from $273.40 to $244.37. The stock dropped below its approximately $254 fifty-day moving average amid broad selling in high-valuation software companies, concerns about AI monetization, and profit-taking after a strong advance associated with S&P 500 inclusion. No verified October 16 company-specific earnings disappointment or similarly material negative corporate announcement was identified. The immediate catalyst therefore appears predominantly market-wide, valuation-related, and technical, although those pressures can be persistent. Monday's early technology rebound and Twilio's recovery above $250 indicate potential stabilization. Previously reported positive analyst revisions and the upcoming October 29 earnings announcement provide context, but do not guarantee a rebound. Risks include further multiple compression, a sustained technical breakdown, disappointing earnings expectations, and continued software-sector liquidation. Direction up is explicitly a reversal of Friday's negative move, not a continuation of an opening gap. The reference price of $252.39 was quoted intraday at 10:09 AM EDT on October 19, approximately three minutes before the supplied current-time context. October 16 market capitalization was approximately $37.53 billion. The calculated 20-session average daily close-based dollar volume was approximately $1.301 billion. Sources support a substantial observed technical selloff but not a confirmed new fundamental deterioration.
Return: 2.00%; alpha: 1.78%. - MTDR down — confidence 57%. REVERSAL DOWN. Matador Resources ranked among the leading eligible NYSE gainers on October 16, advancing 6.97% from $53.77 to $57.52. The principal immediate driver was a substantive rise in crude oil prices associated with Middle Eastern supply disruptions, reinforced by the company's exposure to oil production. Recent acquisitions and supportive analyst research provide genuine fundamental context, but there was no verified company-specific earnings surprise responsible for Friday's entire move. By Monday morning, crude oil had begun retreating from its five-month highs, creating a possible short-term reversal in energy equities after Friday's strong sector-wide advance. The prediction is that profit-taking and moderation of the oil risk premium will outweigh near-term fundamental support. Risks include renewed attacks on energy infrastructure, another spike in oil prices, favorable acquisition developments, and stronger-than-expected oil demand. Direction down is a reversal relative to Friday's positive 6.97% change, not a statement about its Monday opening gap. The latest intraday reference price verified was $57.57 at 10:04 AM EDT on October 19, approximately eight minutes before the supplied current-time context. October 16 market capitalization was approximately $7.12 billion. The calculated 20-session average daily close-based dollar volume was approximately $79.58 million. The oil supply disruption is substantive; the anticipated profit-taking is a market-behavior hypothesis.
Return: -0.21%; alpha: -0.01%. - CRGY up — confidence 56%. CONTINUATION UP. Crescent Energy ranked fourth among NYSE regular-session percentage gainers on October 16 and was among the strongest gainers satisfying the liquidity and market-capitalization requirements, advancing 10.07% from $12.51 to $13.77. The immediate sector catalyst was the substantive rise in crude oil prices following geopolitical supply disruptions. Crescent also has a company-specific fundamental development: its recently announced approximately $4.2 billion acquisition of Devon Energy's Eagle Ford assets, supported by an equity financing transaction and updated analyst assessments. The transaction could increase production scale and operating synergies, strengthening the investment thesis beyond a temporary oil-price spike. The prediction is that this combination of commodity support and acquisition-related reassessment may sustain relative demand for the shares over the next session. Risks include the Monday retreat in oil prices, dilution associated with the company's approximately $1 billion equity offering, integration and leverage risks, and exhaustion after Friday's double-digit advance. Direction up is continuation of the positive October 16 move, independently of any subsequent opening gap. The reference price of $13.81 was quoted intraday at 10:08 AM EDT on October 19, approximately four minutes before the supplied current-time context. October 16 market capitalization was approximately $5.65 billion. The calculated 20-session average daily close-based dollar volume was approximately $133.41 million. The acquisition and geopolitical supply developments are substantive; further share-price continuation is uncertain.
Return: -0.80%; alpha: -1.01%.
Claude Sonnet 5.5
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Friday, Oct 16 saw a sharp tech and AI-software selloff. The Nasdaq Composite fell about 2.15% and the S&P 500 about 1.07%, after Goldman Sachs flagged fast hedge-fund selling of AI names and debt-financing worries. I treat the largest large-cap AI-complex drops as candidates for a partial rebound, but that is a weak edge, since rotations like this often persist for another session. I could not retrieve live Monday quotes. All prices below are Friday closes from a delayed movers page, and several market-cap and dollar-volume figures could not be confirmed, so those fields are omitted.
- CRWV up — confidence 52%. CoreWeave fell 11.91% on Oct 16 to a close of $61.39 and was down about 25% on the week. Coverage attributed the drop to AI debt fears and a Goldman Sachs note on hedge funds selling AI stocks, so the catalyst is largely speculative and sentiment-driven rather than a change in fundamentals. That points to a mean-reversion bounce (reversal, direction up). The price is Friday's regular-session close, which is stale by one session; I found no reliable live Monday quote. Market cap and 20-day average dollar volume could not be confirmed because the sources conflicted. The stock is a very large, liquid Nasdaq name, but the screening floors are not formally verified. Main risk: the momentum selloff continues.
Return: -4.55%; alpha: -4.77%. - PLTR up — confidence 48%. Palantir fell 7.22% on Oct 16 during the AI-software valuation reversal, which was driven by sector-wide positioning and debt worries rather than company-specific news. That is a speculative catalyst and supports a modest rebound (reversal, direction up). I could not confirm the closing price, market cap or 20-day dollar volume, so those fields are omitted. It is a very large and heavily traded name, but the floors are not formally verified. Main risk: continued rotation out of high-multiple AI software.
Return: 1.12%; alpha: 0.91%. - INTC down — confidence 45%. Intel fell 5.79% on Oct 16 to a close of $89.85, with about 123M shares traded. Chipmakers were hit by the rotation out of tech, and the stock sits well below its 52-week high of $142.35 after a very large run this year. I take continuation (direction down) because rotation moves in crowded semiconductor names often extend. The catalyst is speculative and positioning-driven rather than fundamental. The price is Friday's close and is stale by one session. Market cap and dollar volume were not confirmed, though the stock is plainly a large, liquid name. Main risk: a sharp dip-buying rebound.
Return: -2.86%; alpha: 2.64%. - OMER up — confidence 40%. Omeros fell 13.78% on Oct 16 to a close of $16.20 on about 4M shares versus roughly 2M average volume. I could not identify the catalyst, so I treat it as a possible overreaction in a volatile biotech (reversal, direction up). Market cap could not be confirmed, so the $1B floor is unverified. The average-volume figure suggests roughly $30M of daily dollar volume, which is near the $20M floor and not confirmed. This is the weakest-verified pick. The price is Friday's close, one session stale. Main risk: a news-driven drop that keeps falling.
Return: 1.01%; alpha: 0.80%. - CRGY down — confidence 38%. Crescent Energy rose 10.07% on Oct 16 to a close of $13.77 on about 23M shares versus roughly 7M average volume, a large volume spike. I could not confirm the catalyst, so I cannot call it substantive, and I fade the spike (reversal, direction down). Market cap and 20-day dollar volume were not confirmed, though the average volume implies liquidity above the $20M floor. The price is Friday's close, one session stale. Main risk: if the jump was driven by a real catalyst, it may continue.
Return: -0.80%; alpha: 0.58%.
Gemini 3 Pro
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US equity markets exhibit clear sector rotation, with semiconductor and hardware stocks leading top gainers amid analyst upgrades and robust demand for high-bandwidth memory, while financial service and research analytics stocks experience downside pressure from target price cuts.
- INTC up — confidence 75%. Intel stock gained +5.20% in the source session following a JPMorgan upgrade to Overweight and positive commentary around market share stabilization. Direction: up, Hypothesis: continuation. The catalyst is substantive analyst re-rating. Price source: Investing.com pre-market quote on 2026-10-19. Risks: Sector volatility and execution delays.
Return: -2.86%; alpha: -3.08%. - MU up — confidence 70%. Micron Technology rose +4.10% driven by strong sector momentum in high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and memory pricing trends. Direction: up, Hypothesis: continuation. Catalyst: Substantive industry demand tailwinds. Price source: GuruFocus pre-market report on 2026-10-19. Risks: Short-term profit taking and cyclical memory volatility.
Return: -0.56%; alpha: -0.78%. - AMD down — confidence 68%. AMD jumped +4.34% alongside semiconductor peers. Direction: down, Hypothesis: reversal. Catalyst: Speculative momentum following broader peer upgrade news. Thesis expects a technical pullback and mean-reversion as investors lock in gains. Price source: 247WallSt on 2026-10-19. Risks: Continued momentum in AI hardware sector.
Return: -1.68%; alpha: 1.46%. - EFX down — confidence 65%. Equifax dropped -5.38% following a price target reduction by Mizuho analysts. Direction: down, Hypothesis: continuation. Catalyst: Substantive analyst target cuts reflecting muted mortgage origination volume. Price source: MarketBeat report on 2026-10-19. Risks: Interest rate cuts accelerating credit applications.
Return: 11.33%; alpha: -11.54%. - FDS up — confidence 62%. FactSet declined -4.80% in recent trading. Direction: up, Hypothesis: reversal. Catalyst: Substantive market overreaction to earnings guidance mix. Thesis expects buyers to step in at valuation support given strong Annual Subscription Value (ASV) growth. Price source: StockAnalysis quote on 2026-10-19. Risks: Broader contraction in enterprise software spending.
Return: 4.14%; alpha: 3.92%.
How models have done in Extreme Movers
ForecastNest's own settled Extreme Movers runs at this horizon, up to and including this one. Members' own research is not counted. Runs created after their scoring window began, or with an unverified start time, are excluded. The chart is the average directional return per run. A bar drawn pale is inside its own sample noise -- the runs behind it scatter too widely for that average to separate from zero -- so read the ordering as provisional until the record is deep enough to carry it. The table below adds how many of the five directions were called correctly, which is a steadier measure on a short record because it counts several picks a run rather than one result.
Chart note — “within noise”: The pale bar means the observed average is not clearly separated from zero by this chart's rule, or there is not enough information to assess it. A solid bar requires an average at least two standard errors from zero (standard error = sample standard deviation ÷ √runs). Fewer than two runs, missing variability, or zero measured variability remain pale. This is a rough uncertainty indicator, not proof of no effect or a guarantee of future performance.
| Model | Runs | Avg directions called correctly | Avg directional return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | 13 | 63.08% | +1.33% |
| Grok 4 | 3 | 53.33% | +0.92% |
| Meta AI - Muse Spark | 1 | 40.00% | +0.73% |
| DeepSeek | 23 | 47.83% | +0.62% |
| Claude Opus 5 | 6 | 60.00% | +0.03% |
| Grok 4.5 | 18 | 44.44% | -0.02% |
| Gemini 3 Pro | 5 | 48.00% | -0.10% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | 21 | 40.95% | -0.21% |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | 3 | 33.33% | -0.24% |
| Perplexity | 16 | 43.75% | -0.36% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | 18 | 48.89% | -0.52% |
| GPT-6 | 12 | 40.00% | -1.28% |
| GPT-5.6 Sol | 10 | 46.00% | -3.06% |
View settlement prices
| Symbol | Start | End | Source | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD | 543.94000000 | 534.82000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMD/history/ | |
| AR | 38.97000000 | 38.88000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AR/history/ | |
| AXTI | 55.72000000 | 54.27110000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AXTI/history/ | |
| BSP | 48.45000000 | 44.66000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BSP/history/ | |
| CLF | 13.02500000 | 13.12500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CLF/history/ | |
| CRGY | 13.81000000 | 13.70000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CRGY/history/ | |
| CRWV | 61.76100000 | 58.95000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CRWV/history/ | |
| EFX | 157.61000000 | 175.46000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/EFX/history/ | |
| FDS | 298.91000000 | 311.28500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/FDS/history/ | |
| INTC | 93.54000000 | 90.86500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/INTC/history/ | |
| IONQ | 30.63000000 | 31.14040000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/IONQ/history/ | |
| IRON | 75.08000000 | 77.73000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/IRON/history/ | |
| MTDR | 57.65000000 | 57.53000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MTDR/history/ | |
| MU | 907.90000000 | 902.83000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MU/history/ | |
| NBIS | 168.26000000 | 166.16000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NBIS/history/ | |
| OMER | 16.26500000 | 16.43000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OMER/history/ | |
| PANW | 348.26500000 | 341.50500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PANW/history/ | |
| PLTR | 190.85000000 | 192.99490000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/history/ | |
| SMCI | 32.68500000 | 31.68000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SMCI/history/ | |
| SPY | 766.57000000 | 768.24000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/history/ | |
| TWLO | 252.35500000 | 257.40000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TWLO/history/ | |
| VICR | 201.20000000 | 200.92930000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/VICR/history/ |
Standard prompt extreme-movers-v11, SHA-256 efda80c4db445173790f5acd2060a76b48471d6d1ed5aa51ad32384b188f0954. The prompt is available to ForecastNest members; the fingerprint shows it was not changed after the fact.
Calculation: extreme-movers-v1.