Asked Sep 11, 12:57 PM EDT (midday). Gemini 1.5 Pro, DeepSeek V3, Claude Opus 5, Muse Spark 1.1, GPT-5.6 Sol and Grok 4.5 answered the same standard prompt independently. Window: from Sep 11, 12:57 PM EDT to Sep 14, 12:57 PM EDT, the same time one session later. Benchmark: SPY.
Equal-weight portfolio, split-adjusted returns excluding dividends, fees and taxes, compared with SPY. In each chart SPY is on the left and the picks on the right, every candle drawn from zero to that asset's move; ✓ marks a pick that beat SPY.
| Model | Beat SPY | Hit rate | Return | SPY | Alpha |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | 2/5 | 40.00% | -2.09% | -0.31% | -1.78% |
| DeepSeek V3 | 2/5 | 40.00% | -2.89% | -0.31% | -2.58% |
| Claude Opus 5 | 0/5 | 0.00% | -3.26% | -0.31% | -2.96% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | 0/5 | 0.00% | -4.41% | -0.31% | -4.10% |
| GPT-5.6 Sol | 1/5 | 20.00% | -4.28% | -0.31% | -3.97% |
| Grok 4.5 | 0/5 | 0.00% | -4.49% | -0.31% | -4.18% |
Gemini 1.5 Pro
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The U.S. market bounced back on September 11, 2026, breaking a four-day decline as oil prices retreated, with WTI crude dropping 3% to $99.28. Equities also found relief from August CPI data that largely matched expectations, showing a 0.4% monthly and 3.4% annual increase, while core annual CPI stood at 2.4%. This predictable inflation reading fueled a rally in growth and AI-infrastructure stocks. I expect this tech-led momentum to carry over into the next trading session as the market digests the data ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
- DELL — confidence 85.0000%. Thesis: Dell jumped 10% on September 11 after RBC initiated coverage with an Outperform rating, highlighting the company's robust free cash flow and competitive edge in AI infrastructure. Further fueling momentum is its upcoming addition to the S&P 100 index on September 21, which should drive passive index buying. Risks: Following a rapid double-digit daily gain, the stock may be susceptible to near-term profit-taking.
Return: -3.06%; alpha: -2.76%. - HPE — confidence 80.0000%. Thesis: Hewlett Packard Enterprise surged 11.6% as it extended a post-earnings re-rating driven by accelerating demand for AI servers, networking, and storage infrastructure. The broader market rotation back into technology hardware should continue to support this momentum. Risks: The aggressive recent run-up leaves the stock vulnerable to pullbacks if overall market sentiment turns cautious or if borrowing costs continue to pressure growth shares.
Return: -6.84%; alpha: -6.53%. - GOOGL — confidence 75.0000%. Thesis: Alphabet advanced 2.66% on September 11 as the technology and communication services sectors rebounded strongly from a recent rough patch. Mega-cap tech stocks are benefiting from the stabilization of inflation fears following the inline CPI report. Risks: The broader index heavily influences GOOGL; any renewed spike in oil prices or Treasury yields could quickly reduce the relative appeal of rate-sensitive equities.
Return: 2.04%; alpha: 2.35%. - AAPL — confidence 70.0000%. Thesis: Apple gained 2.23% in the latest session, acting as a cornerstone of the market's relief rally as tech leaders shined. As a highly liquid mega-cap, it captures significant inflows during broad market rebounds following inflation data digestion. Risks: Elevated Treasury yields have made government bonds increasingly competitive, which could cap Apple's short-term upside if rates climb further.
Return: 0.20%; alpha: 0.51%. - SMCI — confidence 65.0000%. Thesis: Super Micro Computer offers direct exposure to the AI datacenter hardware market and is trading at a Price-to-Sales ratio significantly below its historical median of approximately 0.6x. It holds a high GF Score of 85/100, reflecting strong growth and profitability potential. Risks: The company is currently cash-flow-negative, and there has been significant insider selling totaling $15.4 million over the last three months, which warrants caution.
Return: -2.79%; alpha: -2.48%.
DeepSeek V3
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US equities are rebounding as oil prices ease and CPI matches expectations, but Fed rate hike risk and weak breadth remain headwinds. AI infrastructure names show strong momentum on earnings and backlog, while merger arbitrage offers low-risk relative performance.
- DELL — confidence 75.0000%. Dell surged 10.5% on September 11, driven by its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings blowout with AI-optimized server revenue doubling to $16.4 billion and a record $95 billion AI backlog. The stock is pressing against a 52-week high on conviction buying, and the AI infrastructure buildout narrative remains strong. Risks include profit-taking after a sharp one-day move and broader market volatility from Fed rate hike expectations.
Return: -3.06%; alpha: -2.76%. - ACVA — confidence 85.0000%. ACV Auctions agreed to be acquired by Copart for $10.50 per share in cash, a 45% premium to its unaffected price. The stock trades near $10.38, offering a near-certain convergence to the deal price with minimal downside. Risks include deal break (unlikely given definitive agreement) and underperformance if SPY rallies more than the small arbitrage spread.
Return: -0.05%; alpha: 0.26%. - HPE — confidence 70.0000%. Hewlett Packard Enterprise jumped 11.4% on September 11, benefiting from the same AI server demand tailwinds that lifted Dell. HPE's enterprise AI infrastructure exposure and recent earnings momentum position it for continued relative strength. Risks include a sharp pullback after the outsized move and competition in the AI server market.
Return: -6.84%; alpha: -6.53%. - MRVL — confidence 65.0000%. Marvell Technology rose over 5% on September 11 after Piper Sandler upgraded the stock, citing strong AI datacenter growth. Marvell's custom silicon and networking solutions are direct beneficiaries of AI infrastructure spending. Risks include semiconductor sector volatility and potential profit-taking after the upgrade-driven rally.
Return: -6.81%; alpha: -6.50%. - RH — confidence 60.0000%. RH reported a massive Q2 earnings beat with EPS of $2.70 versus the $0.39 consensus, sending shares up 8% premarket. The strong profitability and revenue beat could drive follow-through buying. Risks include a cautious Q3 revenue outlook, small-cap volatility, and potential fading of the earnings pop.
Return: 2.30%; alpha: 2.61%.
Claude Opus 5
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US equities are rebounding about 1% on Friday after a four-session losing streak. QQQ is leading, up roughly 1.2%, on AI-infrastructure enthusiasm following Oracle's results. August CPI was in line on the headline (+0.4% m/m, 3.4% y/y), while core ran 0.1 point hot at +0.3% m/m. Fed funds futures now price roughly a 90% chance of a rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC, so the window closes before the decision. The 30-year yield recently hit about 5.37%, its highest since 2007, and 2-year yields are at multi-year highs. Brent has eased about 2-3% today, near $105, on reports of Iran-Gulf talks in Oman, but it is still up about 9% on the week as the US-Iran war around Hormuz escalates. The window spans a weekend with two-sided geopolitical tail risk plus rate-hike pressure on long-duration assets. The basket therefore pairs catalyst-backed AI hardware and cloud momentum with energy exposure that should outperform if oil re-spikes over the weekend.
- ORCL — confidence 57.0000%. Thesis: fundamentally driven post-earnings drift. Fiscal Q1 FY27 beat, with adjusted EPS of $1.92 vs $1.74 expected and revenue of $19.35B vs $19.14B. Cloud infrastructure revenue grew 121% after 93% the prior quarter, and management guided for further acceleration. Full-year FY27 adjusted EPS guidance was raised to $8.10 from $8.05. Operating cash flow hit a record $23B, and new RPO was mostly prepaid or bring-your-own-hardware. The stock gapped up about 6% on genuine fundamental news. That kind of move in a mega-cap tends to see continued institutional accumulation and analyst target revisions over the following sessions, rather than the reversal typical of no-news spikes. Risks: August-quarter capex of about $28.5B far exceeded the roughly $19B modeled. Free cash flow remains deeply negative, and there is still no timetable for it turning positive. A leveraged, capex-heavy balance sheet is exposed to the rate-hike narrative and 5%+ long yields. Some of the gain may be given back if the broader Friday bounce fades or if weekend oil or geopolitical news drives risk-off on Monday.
Return: -5.11%; alpha: -4.80%. - DELL — confidence 56.0000%. Thesis: three catalysts stacked on one of 2026's strongest momentum leaders, which is up roughly 300% YTD. First, RBC initiated coverage at Outperform with a $640 target, citing enterprise AI demand, compute modernization, storage and PC refresh. Second, Oracle's FY27 capex of $90-95B reads through directly to AI rack and server vendors. Third, Dell joins the S&P 100 effective before the open on September 21, which supports incremental benchmark demand into the rebalance. The stock hit an all-time high near $562-564, up about 11% intraday, after a strong September 1 beat-and-raise that triggered multiple target increases. Risks: an 11% single-day gap to a record high invites profit-taking and mean reversion into the weekend. AI server names are crowded and sensitive to any wobble in hyperscaler capex headlines. Higher real yields and a likely Fed hike could compress high-momentum multiples. Memory-cost inflation remains a margin watch item.
Return: -3.06%; alpha: -2.76%. - XLE — confidence 54.0000%. Thesis: the basket's weekend geopolitical hedge, with its own momentum. The US-Iran conflict has intensified over the past two weeks, including tanker strikes, Iranian missile attacks on US ships, and Houthi strikes on Saudi energy facilities. Reports say both sides are bracing for a long war. Brent is still up about 9% for the week, and diesel is at record prices above $6 per gallon. Today's roughly 2-3% oil pullback on reports of Iran-Gulf talks in Oman leaves room for a Monday rebound if the talks produce nothing concrete. If they do, escalation would lift energy while pressuring SPY through yields and inflation fears. XLE is diversified across integrated majors, E&Ps and refiners, which dampens single-name risk. Risks: a credible de-escalation or Hormuz reopening signal from the Oman talks could trigger a sharp crude selloff and large underperformance. Energy may also lag if Monday brings a strong tech-led risk-on continuation.
Return: -0.91%; alpha: -0.61%. - NVDA — confidence 53.0000%. Thesis: the core beneficiary of the AI capex read-through that is lifting server makers today. Oracle confirmed $90-95B in FY27 capex, and that spending ultimately flows largely to accelerators and networking. NVIDIA's last quarter delivered $96B in revenue and guided Q3 to about $108B with a supply-constrained outlook through fiscal 2028. It trades at a reasonable forward P/E of roughly 24 for its growth rate. It lagged in Thursday's selloff, falling about 2%, and has not led today's move, which leaves catch-up potential as capital rotates from server and OEM names back to the silicon leader. As a mega-cap, it carries less idiosyncratic gap risk than smaller AI names. Risks: its heavy SPY and QQQ weight limits relative outperformance. Rising yields and a probable Fed hike weigh on long-duration growth. Any weekend geopolitical shock that hits semiconductors or Taiwan-linked supply chains would hurt. Market attention may stay on second-derivative plays such as servers, power and memory rather than on NVIDIA itself.
Return: -3.19%; alpha: -2.88%. - VLO — confidence 51.0000%. Thesis: a refiner whose margin driver is partly decoupled from crude direction. The diesel crack spread set an all-time high above $100 per barrel in August, and retail diesel just broke to a record above $6 per gallon even as crude dipped today. That means lower crude inputs do not automatically hurt refiners while product prices stay elevated. Valero roughly doubled its realized refining margin year over year in Q2 and returned $2.6B to shareholders with low leverage. Houthi strikes on Saudi facilities and ongoing Gulf shipping disruption keep product markets tight. Weekend escalation would likely lift the whole energy complex. Risks: refiners are technically very extended, up roughly 80-100% YTD and far above long-term moving averages. Analysts have flagged that similar stretches historically preceded pullbacks. A diplomatic breakthrough could hit both crude and crack spreads. The name overlaps with XLE, so the basket's energy tilt doubles down on the weekend-escalation scenario.
Return: -4.04%; alpha: -3.73%.
Muse Spark 1.1
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August CPI released Sep 11 at 8:30am ET: headline +0.4% MoM matching forecast, core +0.3% MoM above 0.2% forecast, YoY headline 3.4% and core 2.4% three-month low. Fed hike odds for Sep 16 jumped to near certainty after release, but major indices opened higher. Dominant intraday driver is Oracle's blowout Q1 FY27: cloud revenues +62% to $11.6B, IaaS +121%, $30B+ AI contracts, RPO $664B up $209B QoQ, FY27 revenue guide $90B+ and Q2 cloud growth 65-71%. That fueled 36% jump Sep 10 and contagion into AI infrastructure. For 1 session, AI capex momentum should outperform broad SPY which is pressured by hawkish CPI read.
- ORCL — confidence 82.0000%. Thesis: Q1 FY27 beat with record AI demand. RPO $664B up $209B from last year, $30B new AI cloud contracts in quarter, cloud infrastructure +121% YoY. Raised FY27 revenue to at least $90B +34% and guided Q2 revenue +30-34% and cloud +65-71%. Led NYSE gains Sep 10 with +36%. Momentum continuation into Sep 11 session as shorts cover and analysts re-rate. Risks: 36% gap up leaves overbought, high capex and $20B debt/equity financing need, hot core CPI 0.3% MoM increases rate hike risk pressuring high-multiple software. Outperformance vs SPY likely because earnings idiosyncratic outweighs macro.
Return: -5.11%; alpha: -4.80%. - DELL — confidence 75.0000%. Thesis: Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buy momentum stock for Sep 11 with earnings estimate +13.5% in 60 days. Core beneficiary of Oracle buildout: Dell builds AI Factory servers for 5,000+ customers including Nvidia, OpenAI, neoclouds. Q2 AI server orders $61B and backlog $95B up from $51.3B last quarter. Nvidia validated Dell commentary. With ORCL adding 700+ AI customers on OCI, Dell server/storage demand directly leveraged. Momentum characteristics flagged by Nasdaq/Barchart for Sep 11. Risks: PC business cyclical, margin pressure from low-margin AI servers, Fed hike bets after CPI could hit hardware spend, valuation at 19x forward already pricing some upside.
Return: -3.06%; alpha: -2.76%. - NVDA — confidence 71.0000%. Thesis: Oracle cloud surge is Nvidia GPU consumption story. Oracle serves vast majority of large model providers who spend new capacity in 2-3 days. Dell earnings showed AI hardware demand extends beyond cloud majors and boosted NVDA +3.2% previously. With ORCL capex ramp and 1.2 GW data center capacity delivered in FY26, GPU pull-through high. Sep 11 momentum screen favors AI chip leaders when broad market digesting CPI. Risks: Hot core CPI 0.3% raises yields pressuring growth, high expectations into earnings, supply constraints, profit-taking after Oracle-led run.
Return: -3.19%; alpha: -2.88%. - AVGO — confidence 68.0000%. Thesis: Broadcom benefits from same AI infrastructure capex as custom accelerators and networking for Oracle and Dell AI factories. Part of AI infrastructure basket alongside Nvidia. Less overbought than ORCL, so catch-up momentum on 1-day horizon if SPY pressured by rate hike narrative - high-quality earnings and buybacks provide defensive growth. With Oracle guiding 65-71% cloud growth, Broadcom Tomahawk/Jericho and custom XPU demand rises. Risks: CPI-driven rate hike near certainty hurts semis multiple, exposure to China, valuation premium, headline CPI 0.4% MoM acceleration may trigger risk-off rotation away from chips.
Return: -4.76%; alpha: -4.45%. - CLS — confidence 65.0000%. Thesis: Celestica flagged as top AI hardware supplier alongside Dell and Sanmina for September gains due to AI spending trend. Contract manufacturer for AI server racks, benefits from Oracle $664B RPO needing rapid deployment and Dell $95B backlog. Small/mid-cap high beta to AI momentum, more likely to outperform SPY on strong tape. Momentum stock with AI backlog leverage. Risks: Lower liquidity vs large caps, tariff and supply chain risk, Fed hawkishness after CPI 0.4% headline could hurt small caps more than SPY, earnings revision volatility.
Return: -5.93%; alpha: -5.62%.
GPT-5.6 Sol
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The market is in a broad rebound after four consecutive S&P 500 declines, with technology and AI-infrastructure stocks showing stronger relative momentum than the benchmark. August CPI remained elevated but close to expectations, while falling oil prices and modestly lower long-term yields reduced immediate macro pressure. The main risk over this Friday-to-Monday window is weekend geopolitical news or a renewed rise in oil and Treasury yields ahead of the Federal Reserve decision. I favor stocks with fresh company-specific catalysts and strong relative strength rather than relying purely on the market rebound.
- BE — confidence 76.0000%. Bloom Energy has one of the strongest combinations of relative momentum and a continuing mechanical catalyst. Shares were up about 6% around the prediction window after recovering above important technical levels. The company is scheduled to enter the S&P 500 before trading begins on September 21, creating continuing demand expectations from index-tracking funds. The fundamental narrative is also strong: rapid earnings growth, expanding data-center electricity demand and investor enthusiasm for AI power infrastructure. Because the index-inclusion catalyst remains active beyond today's move, BE has a credible chance of continuing to outperform SPY into Monday. Risks are substantial volatility, a roughly 8% average true range, valuation sensitivity and the possibility that much of the index-inclusion buying has already been anticipated.
Return: -6.60%; alpha: -6.29%. - ORCL — confidence 74.0000%. Oracle has the strongest fresh earnings catalyst among large-cap technology stocks. Fiscal first-quarter revenue rose about 30%, cloud revenue increased 62%, cloud-infrastructure revenue increased 121%, and remaining performance obligations reached approximately $664 billion after more than $30 billion of additional AI-cloud contracts. Management also guided to roughly 65%-71% USD cloud-revenue growth for the following quarter. The stock's initial post-earnings gain moderated during Friday trading, leaving room for additional institutional reassessment rather than entering the window after an extreme full-day move. The combination of accelerating AI-cloud demand, improving operating results and positive analyst reactions should support relative performance through Monday. Risks include Oracle's very high capital expenditures, negative free cash flow, financing requirements, data-center profitability concerns and renewed pressure from rising bond yields.
Return: -5.11%; alpha: -4.80%. - HPE — confidence 70.0000%. Hewlett Packard Enterprise was among the strongest S&P 500 stocks during Friday's rally and continues to benefit from accelerating AI-infrastructure spending. Its latest quarter produced record revenue, approximately 34% year-over-year growth, Cloud & AI revenue growth of about 25%, server growth of about 35% and sharply higher networking revenue following the Juniper integration. Recent reported AI backlog reached roughly $7.6 billion, while management raised its growth outlook. Strong price action relative to SPY and other technology stocks indicates continued institutional interest in the AI-server and networking theme. The principal risk is that the large Friday advance leaves the stock technically extended and vulnerable to profit-taking Monday; server margins, hardware cyclicality and high interest rates are additional risks.
Return: -6.84%; alpha: -6.53%. - DELL — confidence 68.0000%. Dell offers direct exposure to the continuing AI-server investment cycle and showed exceptional relative strength during Friday trading. Its most recent results included record quarterly revenue near $47 billion, roughly 58% year-over-year growth, very strong AI-optimized server sales and an AI-server backlog reported near $95 billion. Dell raised its fiscal-year revenue outlook to approximately $192 billion and its adjusted earnings outlook substantially after exceptionally strong order activity. Continued momentum in AI infrastructure could allow DELL to outperform SPY over the next session even after Friday's sharp advance. Risks include significant short-term overextension after a double-digit move, potential profit-taking, dependence on large AI infrastructure orders, component-cost pressure and sensitivity to any reversal in the technology rally.
Return: -3.06%; alpha: -2.76%. - AAPL — confidence 65.0000%. Apple is showing favorable post-product-launch relative strength after investors reacted positively to the iPhone 18 lineup and the company's first foldable iPhone. Pricing increases on the Pro models were smaller than some investors had feared, supporting the view that Apple is prioritizing unit demand while using trade-in and leasing programs to limit consumer resistance. The new product cycle, expanded AI features and strong Friday price action provide a near-term momentum setup that could continue into Monday, particularly if the broad technology rebound persists. Risks include margin pressure from memory and component costs, uncertainty over foldable-device demand, potentially weaker unit volumes, a demanding valuation and the possibility that the post-launch rally quickly becomes a sell-the-news move.
Return: 0.20%; alpha: 0.51%.
Grok 4.5
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US equities rebounded roughly 1% on Friday after a four-session losing streak as August CPI matched expectations at 3.4% YoY (core slightly mixed), oil prices retreated 3% from multi-month highs, and Oracle’s strong AI-cloud backlog and guidance revived the AI infrastructure trade. Rate-hike odds for the September 16 FOMC rose further toward 85%, but lower energy prices provided relief. Momentum is concentrated in AI server, networking and related hardware names that reacted positively to Oracle’s results; this short-horizon setup favors continuation of today’s relative-strength leaders into the next session absent fresh negative macro or geopolitical surprises.
- DELL — confidence 68.0000%. Dell surged more than 10% on Friday as AI-server demand read-through from Oracle’s AI-cloud backlog beat and guidance lift, plus a fresh RBC Outperform initiation with a $640 target. Hardware names with direct exposure to hyperscaler and enterprise AI racks have shown the strongest relative strength versus SPY today. Thesis: residual buying and weekend positioning in the AI-infra theme can carry the stock higher on the next session. Risks: profit-taking after a double-digit move, broader market fade if yields re-spike, or any softening in Oracle-related commentary.
Return: -3.06%; alpha: -2.76%. - HPE — confidence 65.0000%. Hewlett Packard Enterprise gained 9–11% on the same Oracle AI-capex and networking tailwinds, supported by its own recent record AI backlog, raised guidance and large contract wins. The stock is trading well above key moving averages with elevated volume. Thesis: continued rotation into AI server and networking suppliers should favor HPE over the broad market on the subsequent session. Risks: high single-day percentage move invites mean-reversion, sensitivity to any cooling in AI spending narratives, and general rate-sensitive pressure.
Return: -6.84%; alpha: -6.53%. - ANET — confidence 62.0000%. Arista Networks advanced several percent as part of the AI networking and data-center infrastructure rally tied to Oracle’s cloud results. Networking names have been consistent relative-strength leaders within the AI complex. Thesis: sustained demand visibility for high-speed switching in AI clusters supports outperformance versus SPY into the next trading day. Risks: valuation premium leaves little room for disappointment, potential sector rotation away from growth, and any broader risk-off move on weekend geopolitics or yields.
Return: -4.66%; alpha: -4.35%. - ORCL — confidence 60.0000%. Oracle itself delivered a clear earnings and backlog beat driven by AI cloud infrastructure, lifting the entire related complex and confirming demand. Although the stock opened higher and later consolidated, the fundamental catalyst remains fresh. Thesis: positive residual sentiment and analyst follow-up after the print can produce relative strength versus the index on the next session. Risks: post-earnings volatility and partial fade already visible, high prior-year drawdown leaving it sensitive to any guidance skepticism, and macro rate concerns.
Return: -5.11%; alpha: -4.80%. - SMCI — confidence 58.0000%. Super Micro Computer participated in the AI-server sympathy rally, rising several percent alongside Dell and HPE on the Oracle-driven AI infrastructure optimism. It remains a high-beta pure-play on liquid-cooled AI racks. Thesis: momentum continuation in the server hardware group favors SMCI outperforming SPY over the short window. Risks: elevated volatility and prior sharp swings, potential for faster profit-taking than larger peers, and any cooling in hyperscaler capex expectations.
Return: -2.79%; alpha: -2.48%.
How models have done in AI Picked
ForecastNest's own settled AI Picked runs at this horizon, up to and including this one. Members' own research is not counted. Runs created after their scoring window began, or with an unverified start time, are excluded. The chart is the average alpha over SPY per run: how much the model's five equally weighted picks beat or trailed the benchmark. A bar drawn pale is inside its own sample noise -- the runs behind it scatter too widely for that average to separate from zero -- so read the ordering as provisional until a record is deep enough to carry it. The table below adds how many of the picks beat SPY, which is a steadier measure on a short record because it counts five picks a run rather than one portfolio.
Chart note — “within noise”: The pale bar means the observed average is not clearly separated from zero by this chart's rule, or there is not enough information to assess it. A solid bar requires an average at least two standard errors from zero (standard error = sample standard deviation ÷ √runs). Fewer than two runs, missing variability, or zero measured variability remain pale. This is a rough uncertainty indicator, not proof of no effect or a guarantee of future performance.
| Model | Runs | Avg picks that beat SPY | Avg alpha vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi | 1 | 20.00% | -0.70% |
| Gemini 3 Pro | 1 | 40.00% | -0.88% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | 3 | 46.67% | -1.31% |
| GPT-5.6 Sol | 4 | 30.00% | -1.84% |
| Claude Opus 5 | 3 | 13.33% | -2.40% |
| DeepSeek | 3 | 33.33% | -2.48% |
| Grok 4.5 | 4 | 15.00% | -2.56% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | 3 | 6.67% | -3.31% |
View settlement prices
| Symbol | Start | End | Source | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | 334.44000000 | 335.12420000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history/ | |
| ACVA | 10.43500000 | 10.43000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ACVA/history/ | |
| ANET | 198.13000000 | 188.90500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ANET/history/ | |
| AVGO | 364.45500000 | 347.10500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AVGO/history/ | |
| BE | 275.59000000 | 257.40500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BE/history/ | |
| CLS | 341.24500000 | 321.01000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CLS/history/ | |
| DELL | 558.80500000 | 541.68500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DELL/history/ | |
| GOOGL | 340.70000000 | 347.65000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history/ | |
| HPE | 60.84000000 | 56.68000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/HPE/history/ | |
| MRVL | 238.35000000 | 222.13000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MRVL/history/ | |
| NVDA | 219.02500000 | 212.03500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history/ | |
| ORCL | 151.69000000 | 143.94000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ORCL/history/ | |
| RH | 136.40000000 | 139.54000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/RH/history/ | |
| SMCI | 39.07500000 | 37.98500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SMCI/history/ | |
| SPY | 765.41000000 | 763.06000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/history/ | |
| VLO | 395.63500000 | 379.66000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/VLO/history/ | |
| XLE | 65.15500000 | 64.56000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/XLE/history/ |
Standard prompt stock-selection-v7, SHA-256 f92f47bb6ef75da39e37341f2a730acb895a9536728ca00f33d4bb5ded71b063. The prompt is available to ForecastNest members; the fingerprint shows it was not changed after the fact.
Calculation: equal-weight-alpha-v1.