Asked Sep 11, 10:07 AM EDT (morning session). Gemini 1.5 Pro, Claude Opus 5, Muse Spark 1.1, DeepSeek V3, GPT-5.6 Sol and Grok 4.5 answered the same standard prompt independently. Window: from Sep 11, 10:07 AM EDT to Sep 14, 10:07 AM EDT, the same time one session later. Benchmark: SPY.
Equal-weight portfolio, split-adjusted returns excluding dividends, fees and taxes, compared with SPY. In each chart SPY is on the left and the picks on the right, every candle drawn from zero to that asset's move; ✓ marks a pick that beat SPY.
| Model | Beat SPY | Hit rate | Return | SPY | Alpha |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | 3/5 | 60.00% | -1.32% | -0.65% | -0.67% |
| Claude Opus 5 | 1/5 | 20.00% | -3.43% | -0.65% | -2.78% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | 1/5 | 20.00% | -3.36% | -0.65% | -2.71% |
| DeepSeek V3 | 2/5 | 40.00% | -3.29% | -0.65% | -2.64% |
| GPT-5.6 Sol | 2/5 | 40.00% | -2.45% | -0.65% | -1.80% |
| Grok 4.5 | 1/5 | 20.00% | -4.62% | -0.65% | -3.96% |
Gemini 1.5 Pro
View full picks and reasoning
The market is facing significant headwinds with inflation fears, 10-year Treasury yields approaching 5%, and soaring oil prices above $107 driven by escalating U.S.-Iran geopolitical conflicts. While SPY may struggle due to rate hike anxieties ahead of the August CPI data, sectors tied to energy, defense, and select tech earnings winners are strongly positioned to outperform the broader index today.
- ORCL — confidence 85.0000%. Oracle surged approximately 6% in premarket trading following a stellar fiscal first-quarter earnings report that highlighted a 60% surge in profits. This strong fundamental catalyst is expected to drive significant outperformance relative to SPY today, even in a cautious broader market environment. The primary risk is that a hotter-than-expected August CPI print could trigger a severe market-wide tech selloff, dragging ORCL down despite its strong individual earnings momentum.
Return: -7.23%; alpha: -6.57%. - XOM — confidence 80.0000%. Exxon Mobil is perfectly positioned to capitalize on the geopolitical risk premium currently driving energy markets. With Brent crude surpassing $107 per barrel due to the U.S.-Iran conflict and disruptions at the Strait of Hormuz, XOM will likely see strong inflows as an inflation hedge. Risks include a sudden de-escalation of Middle East tensions or government interventions to artificially cap soaring gasoline prices, which could trigger a sharp pullback in oil.
Return: 0.77%; alpha: 1.42%. - LMT — confidence 75.0000%. Lockheed Martin is a classic defensive play during times of military escalation. With direct military strikes and a developing U.S.-Iran conflict, investors typically rotate into defense prime contractors anticipating increased government defense appropriations and munitions demand. The main risk is a rapid diplomatic resolution or ceasefire agreement, which would abruptly remove the geopolitical premium currently bolstering the stock.
Return: 0.59%; alpha: 1.24%. - CVX — confidence 75.0000%. Like its peers, Chevron directly benefits from the structural supply threats to global energy infrastructure, underscored by attacks on Saudi pipelines and Houthi blockades in the Red Sea. Rising crude prices provide an immediate tailwind to CVX's margins. A potential risk is demand destruction if oil prices remain excessively elevated, pushing the global economy into a recession that ultimately harms long-term energy consumption.
Return: 0.57%; alpha: 1.23%. - RTX — confidence 70.0000%. RTX Corporation, a major aerospace and defense contractor, stands to gain from the heightened geopolitical instability and the prospect of a prolonged conflict requiring air defense systems and munitions. It serves as a tactical outperformer when broader equities face pressure from war fears. The primary downside risk would be supply chain constraints impacting their defense segment deliveries or an unexpected pivot toward peace negotiations in the Middle East.
Return: -1.30%; alpha: -0.65%.
Claude Opus 5
View full picks and reasoning
US equities opened roughly 1% higher after a four-session losing streak. August headline CPI matched consensus at +0.4% m/m and 3.4% y/y, but core rose 0.3% m/m, a tenth hotter than forecast. Futures now price roughly 85% odds of a Fed hike at Wednesday's meeting. The 10-year yield sits near 4.94% and the 30-year near 5.36%, both multiyear highs. Brent eased about 3% toward $104 after an FT report that Arab foreign ministers will meet Iran's foreign minister Monday in Salalah, Oman, to discuss a temporary Hormuz shipping arrangement. The weekend still carries two-sided geopolitical tail risk. Houthis are advancing on the Bab el-Mandeb (Mocha, Dhubab, Perim Island), smoke was reported near Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline, and Treasury Secretary Bessent flagged sanctions on a 'large bank' for Monday. The window also spans a weekend and ends Monday morning, before the Fed meets. The basket therefore pairs idiosyncratic AI-infrastructure momentum (ORCL earnings, DELL coverage initiations, NVDA read-through) with oil and war hedges (XLE, RTX), so it is not a single directional bet on relief versus escalation.
- ORCL — confidence 60.0000%. Thesis: fiscal Q1 FY27 was a clean beat. Adjusted EPS was $1.92 vs about $1.74 expected, and revenue was $19.35B, up 30% y/y. Cloud infrastructure revenue rose 121% to $7.4B, RPO reached $664B with more than $30B in new AI contracts, GPU utilization was 97.9%, and more than 300,000 GPUs were delivered. FY27 revenue guidance was raised to at least $90B, and Oracle said it completed its $20B at-the-market equity program, which removes a supply overhang analysts had flagged. The stock had fallen roughly 50% from its 52-week high, so positioning was light. A roughly +7% premarket gain faded to about +2% at the open, so less of the good news is priced in at the window start. That leaves room for post-earnings drift as price-target raises land into Monday. Risks: Oracle has sold off after two of its past three reports, and the early fade shows active sellers. Concerns about leverage, capex, cash flow and OpenAI concentration persist. Higher yields before a likely Fed hike penalize long-duration growth names.
Return: -7.23%; alpha: -6.57%. - DELL — confidence 55.0000%. Thesis: fresh sell-side support at a lower price. RBC initiated coverage at Outperform with a $640 target, and Evercore ISI lifted its target to $650. Both are well above a share price that has recently pulled back to around the low-$500s. Oracle's report of more than 300,000 GPUs delivered, near-full utilization and a record backlog directly supports demand for AI servers, where Dell is a primary builder. That makes Dell a second-derivative beneficiary of the Oracle print that has lagged the first-order move. Risks: AI hardware margins are thin, and memory and component costs are elevated. The stock is high-beta to any renewed rate- or oil-driven selloff, and the recent drop may reflect selling that is not yet exhausted.
Return: -4.07%; alpha: -3.42%. - XLE — confidence 53.0000%. Thesis: a hedge against weekend escalation, bought on today's dip in crude. Brent pulled back about 3% from Thursday's close of roughly $107.6 on hopes of a temporary Hormuz arrangement. The underlying supply picture keeps deteriorating. Houthis now hold ground around the Bab el-Mandeb, Hormuz transits fell to 7 vessels versus a 15 ten-day average, and smoke was reported near Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline, the main Hormuz bypass. Iran has damaged the US Fifth Fleet base in Bahrain, and Trump said he expects the war to continue until after the midterms. Energy was the top S&P sector quarter-to-date, up about 22% as of early September. XLE's negative correlation to SPY in this regime diversifies the AI-heavy picks. Risks: a constructive outcome from Monday's Salalah meeting, which could fall inside the window, could knock oil and energy equities sharply lower. XLE also typically lags on broad risk-on days like today.
Return: 0.29%; alpha: 0.94%. - NVDA — confidence 52.0000%. Thesis: the most direct beneficiary of Oracle's GPU deployments. It traded up about 1.4% premarket near $221, and semiconductors have repeatedly outperformed the broader tape this month even as rate-hike odds climbed. Oracle's 97.9% GPU utilization and its large new AI contract bookings strengthen the demand read-through into the weekend. As a mega-cap it lowers idiosyncratic volatility relative to smaller AI names. Risks: a 25 bp hike at Wednesday's meeting and a 10-year near 5% compress high-multiple valuations. Scrutiny of AI financing, including circular hyperscaler deals and GPU rental economics, could resurface. Heavy SPY weight also limits how much it can outperform the benchmark.
Return: -4.86%; alpha: -4.21%. - RTX — confidence 50.0000%. Thesis: a second geopolitical hedge with lower beta than energy. RTX makes many of the interceptors that US and allied forces are using against Iranian and Houthi missiles and drones. The Houthi push into the Bab el-Mandeb, IRGC threats to intensify retaliation, and damage to US naval facilities in Bahrain all point to continued munitions replenishment demand. That demand already sits within a very large backlog and a multi-year missile production cycle. If weekend headlines turn negative, RTX should hold up better than SPY. Risks: defense primes trade at premium multiples (around 22-25x forward earnings) and tend to lag in risk-on relief rallies. Industrials had been the weakest S&P sector quarter-to-date. A Hormuz de-escalation headline on Monday would remove the short-term bid.
Return: -1.30%; alpha: -0.65%.
Muse Spark 1.1
View full picks and reasoning
Window contains the pivotal August CPI release at 8:30am ET Sep 11, the last inflation print before Sep 16 FOMC. Consensus is unusually tight for core CPI at 0.22% MoM (range 0.16-0.24% across 17 banks), with headline 0.38% MoM / 3.4% YoY. Market pricing ~58% chance of hike. Oracle's 29.6% revenue beat and 36% jump on Sep 10 leads AI infrastructure momentum. Bias is for tech/growth to outperform SPY on any soft core print or continued AI capacity chase into the close.
- ORCL — confidence 75.0000%. Thesis: Blowout Q1 FY27 after close Sep 10 - EPS $1.92 vs $1.74 consensus, revenue $19.35B +29.6% YoY, ahead of estimates. Raised FY27 guidance to $90B+ revenue +34% and $8.10 non-GAAP EPS. Cloud infrastructure revenue +75% YoY narrative drove 36% jump leading NYSE on Sep 10. Momentum follow-through typical for 1-day after large beat with raised outlook. Risks: Overbought after 36% move, high beta to CPI if hot print triggers rate-hike fears and profit taking; debt concerns around data center build-out could pressure margins.
Return: -7.23%; alpha: -6.57%. - NVDA — confidence 68.0000%. Thesis: Direct AI infrastructure proxy benefiting from Oracle's commentary on AI capacity demand. If CPI core prints at low end of tight 0.16-0.24% range, duration-sensitive growth rallies and NVDA beta ~1.5x vs SPY outperforms. Oracle deal flow signals sustained GPU demand. Risks: If headline CPI 0.38%+ confirms sticky inflation and Fed hike odds rise to >70%, high-multiple semis underperform; valuation crowded.
Return: -4.86%; alpha: -4.21%. - SMH — confidence 65.0000%. Thesis: Semiconductor ETF captures Oracle-driven AI infrastructure optimism plus breadth beyond single name. 25 holdings including NVDA, AVGO, TSM reduce single-stock risk while retaining high beta to SPY. Historical pattern shows SMH outperforms SPY by 1.2-2.0x on positive CPI surprise or risk-on post-earnings momentum days. Risks: Hot CPI >0.30% core would hit semis hardest due to rate sensitivity; Taiwan supply chain headline risk.
Return: -4.23%; alpha: -3.58%. - QQQ — confidence 62.0000%. Thesis: QQQ provides diversified large-cap growth exposure to benefit from both Oracle momentum and potential dovish CPI reaction. Contains ORCL, MSFT, AAPL, NVDA. If core CPI prints 0.20% or below, Fed hike expectations collapse from 58% and QQQ typically outperforms SPY by 30-50bps intraday. Lower idiosyncratic risk than single stock for 1-day horizon. Risks: If CPI beats high, QQQ underperforms SPY due to duration; equal-weight requirement limits alpha.
Return: -1.22%; alpha: -0.57%. - MSFT — confidence 60.0000%. Thesis: Co-beneficiary of Oracle cloud growth and enterprise AI demand, less volatile than pure AI names. Strong balance sheet offers defensive growth if CPI hot. Oracle and Microsoft have intertwined cloud interconnect. In risk-on CPI soft scenario, MSFT beta ~1.1 outperforms SPY; in risk-off, it outperforms relatively due to quality. Risks: Large weight in SPY limits relative outperformance; any hot CPI still pressures multiple; guidance not updated today.
Return: 0.75%; alpha: 1.40%.
DeepSeek V3
View full picks and reasoning
US equity futures point to a higher open on Friday, September 11, 2026, with Dow futures up over 1% and S&P 500 futures up roughly 0.6%, as a pullback in crude oil prices from four-month highs provides relief and investors digest an August CPI report that was broadly in line on headline (0.4% m/m, 3.4% y/y) but slightly hot on core (0.3% m/m vs. 0.2% expected). Despite the firmer core reading, which pushed September Fed rate-hike odds to roughly 85-90%, markets are rebounding after a four-session losing streak on the view that the inflation data removes a key overhang. Rotation is visible: the Dow is outperforming the Nasdaq, with value and cyclical sectors leading while technology and semiconductors lag. Oracle's strong Q1 earnings and raised FY27 guidance are lifting enterprise software and AI infrastructure sentiment, while lower oil prices are pressuring energy but easing inflation fears. The VIX remains elevated near 18, suggesting continued volatility. Against this backdrop, SPY is likely to grind higher, but idiosyncratic earnings and event-driven names with strong company-specific catalysts should outperform the broad index over the one-session window.
- ORCL — confidence 75.0000%. Oracle reported better-than-expected Q1 FY27 results, with adjusted EPS of $1.92 exceeding estimates and revenue of $19.35 billion, while cloud infrastructure revenue surged 121% year-over-year. Management raised its FY27 adjusted EPS guidance, and the AI cloud backlog beat estimates, easing concerns about the company's massive debt-driven spending spree. The stock surged over 7% in premarket trading, reversing a 5.38% decline from Thursday's close. Multiple analysts reaffirmed Buy ratings, with price targets ranging from $195 to $400. Risks include elevated valuation, a potential rotation away from technology stocks as the Nasdaq diverges lower from the Dow, and the possibility that the premarket gap captures much of the upside before the window opens; ORCL may also face profit-taking after its sharp reversal.
Return: -7.23%; alpha: -6.57%. - RH — confidence 72.0000%. RH delivered a massive Q2 FY2026 earnings beat, reporting adjusted EPS of $2.70 versus the $0.39 consensus estimate, and revenue of $922.2 million exceeding the $915.1 million forecast. The company raised its annual guidance and expects an additional $13.9 million in tariff-related benefits in the second half. Shares jumped approximately 8% in premarket trading after falling 3.84% during Thursday's regular session, and the stock appears significantly undervalued based on GF Value metrics. Risks include margin pressure from tariffs and freight costs, cautious consumer discretionary spending, mixed analyst reactions with some price target cuts (TD Cowen lowered to $190, JPMorgan to $190, UBS to $154), and the possibility that the one-time tariff refund benefit is not sustainable, which could cap upside beyond the initial gap.
Return: -2.27%; alpha: -1.62%. - CPRT — confidence 70.0000%. Copart announced a definitive agreement to acquire ACV Auctions for $10.50 per share in cash, representing an equity value of approximately $1.9 billion and a 45% premium to ACV's unaffected closing price. Simultaneously, Copart reported Q4 FY2026 revenue of $1.2 billion, exceeding analyst expectations. Barrington Research upgraded the stock from Market Perform to Outperform with a $40 price target, implying roughly 30% upside from the premarket price. Shares rose approximately 7% in premarket trading. Risks include the acquisition being dilutive to near-term earnings (expected breakeven in the current year, accretive only in FY28), declining insurance volumes, rising per-unit costs, and integration risk; additionally, the stock had fallen 4% on Thursday, and the gap-up may attract sellers.
Return: 1.43%; alpha: 2.08%. - HPE — confidence 65.0000%. Hewlett Packard Enterprise surged over 8% in early Friday trading, making it one of the top gainers among large-cap US equities. The move is driven by continued strong AI spending momentum, amplified by Oracle's blowout cloud infrastructure results, which signal robust demand for AI servers and enterprise hardware. HPE has a consensus Buy rating with an average 12-month price target of $67.43, implying approximately 22% upside from current levels. The stock is benefiting from the broader enterprise hardware strength noted in sector rotation trends. Risks include the stock's high beta to AI sentiment, potential profit-taking after the sharp intraday move, competition from Dell and Super Micro, and the possibility that the rally fades if the Nasdaq's divergence from the Dow widens and tech-adjacent names come under pressure.
Return: -8.34%; alpha: -7.69%. - GME — confidence 58.0000%. GameStop shares rose approximately 4% in premarket trading after an SEC filing disclosed that chairman and CEO Ryan Cohen purchased 1 million Class A shares in the open market at an average price of approximately $20.38, totaling roughly $20.4 million. This is Cohen's largest single purchase since January and significantly increases his direct ownership to 39.3 million shares, signaling strong insider confidence. The stock has been building a rounding bottom near $17.84 support, and retail sentiment remains a powerful force for GME. Risks include extreme volatility, the lack of a fundamental earnings catalyst (the move is purely sentiment and insider-signal driven), low analyst price targets (median $13.50), and the tendency of meme stocks to reverse sharply after gap-ups; GME could easily underperform SPY if retail enthusiasm fades intraday.
Return: -0.05%; alpha: 0.60%.
GPT-5.6 Sol
View full picks and reasoning
U.S. equities are rebounding after a difficult week as oil prices retreat and the August inflation report reduces uncertainty around next week's Federal Reserve decision. The broad rally is constructive, but elevated Treasury yields and geopolitical risk remain significant headwinds. For this one-session window, fresh earnings catalysts and stocks already demonstrating clear relative strength versus SPY offer the best probability of continued outperformance.
- ORCL — confidence 78.0000%. Oracle has the strongest company-specific catalyst in the group. Fiscal first-quarter adjusted EPS of $1.92 exceeded expectations of about $1.74, revenue rose roughly 30% to $19.3 billion, and cloud infrastructure growth was exceptionally strong. Remaining performance obligations reached about $664 billion, reinforcing the durability of AI-related demand and reducing recent concerns about Oracle's dependence on a narrow group of AI customers. Shares were materially outperforming the market before the session and remained positive after the open. The main risks are profit-taking after the earnings gap, extremely heavy capital spending, negative free-cash-flow pressure and sensitivity to high interest rates.
Return: -7.23%; alpha: -6.57%. - RH — confidence 72.0000%. RH entered the session with a powerful earnings-driven repricing after second-quarter results exceeded profit expectations and management presented an optimistic expansion outlook. The roughly high-single-digit premarket move indicates substantially stronger company-specific demand than the broad index move. Post-earnings momentum can persist into the following session when results alter expectations rather than merely beat estimates. Risks include rapid fading of the initial earnings gap, RH's sensitivity to interest rates and housing conditions, and elevated volatility associated with a large one-day repricing.
Return: -2.27%; alpha: -1.62%. - CSCO — confidence 64.0000%. Cisco showed unusually strong relative strength early in the session, rising about 2.5% and becoming one of the largest positive contributors to the Dow's rally. The move substantially exceeded the broad-market advance and occurred in a tape favoring large-cap technology and AI-infrastructure exposure. Cisco's comparatively defensive cash-flow profile may also be advantageous while Treasury yields remain elevated. The principal risk is that the move lacks a comparably strong fresh company-specific catalyst and could reverse if the broad rebound loses momentum.
Return: 0.30%; alpha: 0.95%. - CAT — confidence 62.0000%. Caterpillar was also gaining about 2.5% early in the session and was among the largest contributors to the Dow's advance, indicating meaningful relative strength versus SPY. Its industrial and infrastructure exposure provides diversification from technology while the market responds positively to lower oil prices and improved risk sentiment. Continued institutional momentum could support another period of relative outperformance through the next-session measurement point. Risks include sensitivity to global growth expectations, commodity and energy-market volatility, geopolitical developments and the possibility that today's strength is primarily index-level rather than company-specific buying.
Return: -4.08%; alpha: -3.43%. - META — confidence 59.0000%. Meta retains a fresh positive AI catalyst following the launch of its Muse agent and a JPMorgan upgrade to overweight with a substantially higher price target. Early adoption indicators for Muse were reported as strong, supporting the thesis that Meta can distribute new AI products across its enormous consumer and business user base. The stock has recently regained technical momentum after moving back above its 200-day moving average, creating potential for continued relative strength during a technology-led rebound. Risks are that much of the catalyst has already been priced in, the stock has risen sharply during September, AI capital expenditures remain extremely high and elevated bond yields can pressure long-duration technology valuations.
Return: 1.02%; alpha: 1.67%.
Grok 4.5
View full picks and reasoning
Markets are rebounding after a rough week of losses driven by elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions and rising yields. August CPI came in slightly hotter than expected on core measures, reinforcing rate-hike odds for the upcoming FOMC, yet stocks rose as oil cooled and Oracle's strong AI cloud results provided a positive catalyst. Tech and industrials are leading the recovery while energy lags. Near-term tone is constructive on risk-on flows but remains sensitive to oil volatility and Fed pricing.
- ORCL — confidence 72.0000%. Oracle reported fiscal Q1 results with 30% revenue growth and 121% surge in cloud infrastructure to $7.4B, plus over $30B in new AI contracts that lifted remaining performance obligations to $664B. Premarket and early session strength reflects investor relief that AI investments are monetizing. Thesis is residual momentum and potential further analyst upgrades carrying into the next session. Risks include valuation pressure if broader rate fears re-emerge or if guidance commentary is later viewed as insufficient.
Return: -7.23%; alpha: -6.57%. - DELL — confidence 65.0000%. Dell is benefiting from the same AI infrastructure demand highlighted by Oracle's results, with shares showing strong gains amid broader server and storage optimism. Thesis centers on continued rotation into AI hardware names that can deliver tangible revenue from data-center buildouts. Risks include high beta to semiconductor and tech sentiment, plus any disappointment on margin sustainability if component costs rise with oil or tariffs.
Return: -4.07%; alpha: -3.42%. - HPE — confidence 62.0000%. Hewlett Packard Enterprise is participating in the AI server and hybrid-cloud uplift, posting notable gains as investors favor companies positioned for enterprise AI deployments. Thesis is spillover strength from Oracle's cloud commentary and sector leadership in technology. Risks are execution on large deals, competition intensity, and sensitivity to higher rates that could slow enterprise IT spending.
Return: -8.34%; alpha: -7.69%. - NVDA — confidence 60.0000%. Nvidia remains the primary beneficiary of accelerated AI cloud spending, with Oracle's GPU delivery and contract wins reinforcing demand visibility. Thesis is that positive AI infrastructure news sustains momentum even after prior-week pressure. Risks include elevated valuation, potential profit-taking after the rebound, and any escalation in geopolitical or oil-driven inflation that hits growth stocks.
Return: -4.86%; alpha: -4.21%. - CPRT — confidence 58.0000%. Copart announced an all-cash acquisition of ACV Auctions that expands its digital dealer-to-dealer platform and is expected to be accretive longer term. Shares are reacting positively to the strategic expansion and cash-funded structure. Thesis is deal-related momentum and potential multiple expansion as the combined platform story is digested. Risks include integration uncertainty, regulatory clearance timelines, and broader market pullback if oil or yields spike again.
Return: 1.43%; alpha: 2.08%.
How models have done in AI Picked
ForecastNest's own settled AI Picked runs at this horizon, up to and including this one. Members' own research is not counted. Runs created after their scoring window began, or with an unverified start time, are excluded. The chart is the average alpha over SPY per run: how much the model's five equally weighted picks beat or trailed the benchmark. A bar drawn pale is inside its own sample noise -- the runs behind it scatter too widely for that average to separate from zero -- so read the ordering as provisional until a record is deep enough to carry it. The table below adds how many of the picks beat SPY, which is a steadier measure on a short record because it counts five picks a run rather than one portfolio.
Chart note — “within noise”: The pale bar means the observed average is not clearly separated from zero by this chart's rule, or there is not enough information to assess it. A solid bar requires an average at least two standard errors from zero (standard error = sample standard deviation ÷ √runs). Fewer than two runs, missing variability, or zero measured variability remain pale. This is a rough uncertainty indicator, not proof of no effect or a guarantee of future performance.
| Model | Runs | Avg picks that beat SPY | Avg alpha vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi | 1 | 20.00% | -0.70% |
| Gemini 3 Pro | 1 | 40.00% | -0.88% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | 2 | 50.00% | -1.07% |
| GPT-5.6 Sol | 3 | 33.33% | -1.13% |
| Grok 4.5 | 3 | 20.00% | -2.02% |
| Claude Opus 5 | 2 | 20.00% | -2.13% |
| DeepSeek | 2 | 30.00% | -2.43% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | 2 | 10.00% | -2.92% |
View settlement prices
| Symbol | Start | End | Source | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAT | 822.98000000 | 789.40000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CAT/history/ | |
| CPRT | 30.45500000 | 30.89000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CPRT/history/ | |
| CSCO | 110.14000000 | 110.47000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CSCO/history/ | |
| CVX | 215.53500000 | 216.77340000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CVX/history/ | |
| DELL | 557.93000000 | 535.21000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DELL/history/ | |
| GME | 21.12500000 | 21.11500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GME/history/ | |
| HPE | 61.25000000 | 56.14000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/HPE/history/ | |
| LMT | 525.75000000 | 528.84000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/LMT/history/ | |
| META | 654.66000000 | 661.31000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/history/ | |
| MSFT | 498.12000000 | 501.87000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history/ | |
| NVDA | 221.51990000 | 210.74660000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history/ | |
| ORCL | 155.71000000 | 144.45870000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ORCL/history/ | |
| QQQ | 714.98000000 | 706.23500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/QQQ/history/ | |
| RH | 134.25000000 | 131.20000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/RH/history/ | |
| RTX | 198.03000000 | 195.45000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/RTX/history/ | |
| SMH | 566.62000000 | 542.63000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SMH/history/ | |
| SPY | 765.45000000 | 760.46000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/history/ | |
| XLE | 65.68000000 | 65.87000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/XLE/history/ | |
| XOM | 166.97000000 | 168.26000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/XOM/history/ |
Standard prompt stock-selection-v7, SHA-256 6f91aa7a8027bb5e7e83e234de34258900046566226c2387fff305bb5fecffcc. The prompt is available to ForecastNest members; the fingerprint shows it was not changed after the fact.
Calculation: equal-weight-alpha-v1.