Sep 25, 2026 - 7 AI models call the biggest movers in the morning session. 1 model finished positive

Asked Sep 25, 10:34 AM EDT (morning session). GPT-5.6 Sol, Claude Opus 5.5, Gemini 1.5 Pro, Muse Spark 1.1, Perplexity, Grok 4.5 and DeepSeek answered the same standard prompt independently. Window: from Sep 25, 10:34 AM EDT to Sep 28, 10:34 AM EDT, the same time one session later. Benchmark: SPY.

Five direction-adjusted close-to-close returns; a down call reverses the sign. The score is the mean signed return, without subtracting the benchmark. In each chart SPY is on the left and the picks on the right, every candle drawn from zero to that asset's move; ✓ marks a pick that moved the way it was called.

Model	Correct	Hit rate	Return	SPY	Directional return
GPT-5.6 Sol	2/5	40.00%	-2.14%	0.01%	-2.14%
Claude Opus 5.5	1/5	20.00%	-5.05%	0.01%	-5.05%
Gemini 1.5 Pro	2/5	40.00%	-2.54%	0.01%	-2.54%
Muse Spark 1.1	0/5	0.00%	-2.17%	0.01%	-2.17%
Perplexity	1/5	20.00%	-2.92%	0.01%	-2.92%
Grok 4.5	1/5	20.00%	-2.73%	0.01%	-2.73%
DeepSeek	2/5	40.00%	2.98%	0.01%	2.98%

GPT-5.6 Sol

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The strongest extreme-mover setups are concentrated in event-driven names rather than broad index beta. I favor continuation where a move reflects a large, economically meaningful contract or acquisition and reversal where an earnings reaction appears disproportionate to the underlying report. Data freshness is uneven across public quote pages during the still-open September 25 session, so the selections prioritize movers for which I could verify both a large source-session move and a concrete catalyst without inventing unavailable fields.

1. AKAM up — confidence 82%. Akamai is a continuation candidate after an extreme positive move tied to a substantive catalyst rather than unexplained momentum. Anthropic committed $11.6 billion over seven years to Akamai cloud infrastructure, with potential additional commitments, creating a material multi-year revenue opportunity. The stock was reported as one of the largest September 25 movers after surging more than 20% in extended trading and retaining a large positive move in subsequent trading. The principal risk is emotional exhaustion: much of the contract value was immediately capitalized into the stock, and investors may focus on Akamai's required infrastructure spending and execution risk after the first-day repricing. I therefore expect further upside by the next session close, but materially smaller than the initial reaction. The latest September 25 quote snapshot I could verify was $127.66 with a displayed +7.95% change; the source's timestamp presentation makes the exact regular-session timing less clear than ideal, but I am using the displayed September 25 move rather than substituting an older remembered close.
   Return: -5.97%; alpha: -5.97%.
2. SCHL up — confidence 76%. Scholastic is a reversal candidate after a double-digit selloff following its earnings update. A September 25 quote page showed SCHL at $30.64, down 13.20%, with market capitalization of about $651.95 million. The reaction followed fiscal first-quarter results and guidance; the company also projected fiscal-2027 revenue growth of 2%-4% and adjusted EBITDA of $135 million-$145 million. That makes the decline more nuanced than a pure fundamental collapse and raises the probability of an oversold rebound after the initial earnings reset. The risk is that investors may be correctly discounting weak near-term school and consumer demand and that the negative post-earnings narrative continues for another session. Because the source-session loss is large relative to the company's still-positive full-year outlook, I favor reversal.
   Return: 1.88%; alpha: 1.87%.
3. ZS up — confidence 67%. Zscaler is a reversal candidate after a September 25 quote snapshot showed the shares at $207.02, down 3.53%, with market capitalization near $31.96 billion. Unlike a collapse driven by a new fundamental impairment, the move follows a period of very strong momentum in cybersecurity shares, leaving room for mechanical profit-taking and option-related volatility. Zscaler's broader technical trend remained strong in contemporaneous September 25 technical data, with positive MACD and strong moving-average readings. The risk is that the decline reflects the start of a more durable valuation reset after the prior run, in which case weakness could continue. Given the relatively moderate source-session decline compared with the stock's preceding upside momentum, I favor a next-session rebound rather than continued downside.
   Return: 0.02%; alpha: 0.01%.
4. WTTR up — confidence 65%. Select Water Solutions is a continuation candidate because the underlying catalyst is substantive: the company announced an agreement to acquire Pilot Water Solutions for approximately $700 million in cash and stock and scheduled a September 25 investor call to discuss the transaction. The deal expands scale and infrastructure exposure and produced a strong positive market reaction. The freshest directly verifiable September 25-linked quote I could obtain was $21.22 in the post-announcement extended-hours data, an 8.65% move from the preceding regular close; because a fresher regular-session percentage was not reliably exposed by my sources, this percentage is the best September 25-linked move I could verify and should be treated as less clean than the SCHL observation. The risk is classic acquisition skepticism: financing, integration, leverage and dilution concerns can cause an initial deal rally to fade once investors examine transaction details. I nevertheless favor continuation because the transaction is large relative to WTTR and strategically coherent.
   Return: -0.74%; alpha: -0.74%.
5. SNX up — confidence 62%. TD SYNNEX is a reversal candidate following a sharp earnings-related decline. The available quote snapshot showed SNX at $245.74, down 14.64%, with market capitalization near $22.4 billion. The selloff occurred despite record fiscal third-quarter revenue of about $21.6 billion, revenue growth of 37.7%, Hyve hyperscale growth of 113% and continued AI infrastructure demand. That combination suggests the market reaction was driven partly by expectations, margin concerns or forward-looking details rather than an outright deterioration in demand. A double-digit one-session decline despite strong top-line growth creates a plausible mean-reversion setup. The major risk is that investors are responding to lower-quality growth, margin compression or guidance concerns that headline revenue growth does not capture; if so, the negative re-rating can continue. I favor reversal because the magnitude of the decline appears extreme relative to the reported demand strength.
   Return: -5.87%; alpha: -5.88%.

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Claude Opus 5.5

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The source session is Thursday, September 24, 2026, a flat day for the indexes (SPY -0.08%, QQQ -0.02%, IWM -0.09%). The extreme-mover lists were dominated by micro-cap and small-cap speculation (crypto-pivot shells, Greenland-themed names, thinly traded Chinese small caps) plus a few substantive stories: Stitch Fix's guidance cut and a sympathy-driven biotech re-rating in Surrozen. I applied the exclusion rule (price below $1 and market cap below $1B), which removes GETY, RKDA, TWG, GP, VTGN, HCTI and GCDT, and then favored names where Friday's early tape already confirms or contradicts the September 24 move. My approach is to fade no-news micro-cap spikes that are already reversing (STAK), follow substantive fundamental breaks (SFIX guidance cut), fade sympathy-only re-ratings that are stalling (SRZN), and respect catalyst-driven momentum that is still extending on Friday (APUS, GLND). Friday's broader tape is mildly risk-on as oil eases and semiconductors rebound, which modestly helps speculative momentum but does little for broken fundamental stories. Price-freshness caveat: all quotes are from StockAnalysis.com. SRZN, APUS and GLND are live intraday quotes from roughly 10:03-10:29 AM ET on September 25; STAK and SFIX are early pre-market quotes on September 25, so they are several hours stale.

1. APUS up — confidence 66%. Source session: Apimeds Pharmaceuticals US rose 114.85% on September 24 to close at 4.92, the top gainer. Catalyst: its MindWave Innovations subsidiary signed an agreement to build and operate AQUAEChain, a platform for insured ALCI credits, announced September 24. This is a real press release but a speculative, promotional-style catalyst for a crypto/treasury pivot shell with about 1.51M shares outstanding, and the company recently engaged a paid IR/newswire firm (IBN), so sustainability is doubtful. Thesis: the move is extending sharply on Friday. The live quote at 10:03 AM ET on 2026-09-25 is 7.29, up 48.17% from the prior close, after opening at 8.32 and trading as high as 9.14. Measured close-to-close from the September 24 close of 4.92, the stock would need to fall more than 32% intraday to lose the continuation, so I call up/continuation. Risks: an extreme low-float pump that has already faded from 9.14 to 7.29 intraday; a violent afternoon collapse, an offering or a trading halt could erase gains quickly; the stock's 52-week high of 59.70 versus a low of 1.51 shows its extreme volatility. Market cap is about $11.0M at the current quote (7.42M at the source-session close). Price, market cap and change are from StockAnalysis.com; the market cap is below $1B but the price is above $1, so it passes the exclusion rule.
   Return: -14.47%; alpha: -14.48%.
2. STAK down — confidence 64%. Source session: STAK Inc., a Chinese oilfield-equipment micro-cap, rose 53.19% on September 24 from 0.94 to 1.44 on 45.3M shares, versus a float of about 19.2M shares, trading between 0.93 and 1.74. Catalyst: none identified. The latest company news is a September 15 notice of a Class A/extraordinary general meeting, and a premarket report today described its drop as on thin news, so the spike looks speculative and liquidity-driven. The company has a history of volatility halts and small dilutive registered direct offerings, a pattern that often precedes selling into strength. Thesis: reversal down. The stock was indicated at 1.26 pre-market (-12.50%) at 6:09 AM ET on September 25, already giving back a large part of the move. Risks: very low float can produce a second-day squeeze; pre-market prints are thin and may not reflect the regular session; an EGM outcome or share-structure change could spark renewed speculation. Price note: 1.26 is a pre-market quote from 6:09 AM ET on 2026-09-25 from StockAnalysis.com, several hours old; I could not retrieve a regular-session intraday quote. Market cap of about $27.66M is at the September 24 close. Price is above $1, so it passes the exclusion rule.
   Return: 0.25%; alpha: -0.25%.
3. SFIX down — confidence 55%. Source session: Stitch Fix fell 21.63% on September 24 from 2.82 to 2.21, a new 52-week low, on 14.1M shares. Catalyst (substantive): fiscal Q4 results released September 23 showed a wider-than-expected loss per share and active clients down 1.4%. Guidance also missed badly, with Q1 revenue guided to $323-328M against roughly $355M expected and FY27 revenue guided to $1.31-1.36B against a $1.41B consensus. William Blair downgraded the stock to Market Perform, and Telsey, Northland and UBS all cut price targets. Thesis: continuation down. Post-earnings drift after a guidance cut and downgrades tends to persist, and there is little support below a fresh 52-week low. Pre-market on September 25 showed 2.19 (-0.90%). Risks: the stock is deeply oversold after losing about 58% of its market cap over the year, and the AI try-on engagement data and positive free-cash-flow guidance could attract value buyers or short covering; a risk-on Friday tape could produce a relief bounce. Price note: 2.19 is a pre-market quote from 8:30 AM ET on 2026-09-25 from StockAnalysis.com, not a live regular-session quote. Market cap of about $294.87M is at the September 24 close.
   Return: 10.91%; alpha: -10.92%.
4. GLND up — confidence 53%. Source session: Greenland Energy Company, a pre-revenue oil and gas explorer in East Greenland's Jameson Land Basin, rose 83.85% on September 24 to 5.35 on about 166M shares. Catalysts: a policy theme and a company update. The theme is the US-Denmark-Greenland security agreement announced around September 21, which set off a sector-wide rally in Greenland-linked names (GLND, GRML, CRML). The company update, on September 24, is a Deed of Variation and Novation extending its Jameson Land farm-out agreement with partner 80 Mile plc. The theme is real policy news but speculative for a pre-revenue explorer's value. Thesis: continuation up. The theme is still extending on Friday: the live quote at 10:29 AM ET on 2026-09-25 is 5.71 (+6.73%) after opening at 6.11, and StockAnalysis reports that Greenland-linked stocks continue to surge on US investment prospects. Measured from the September 24 close of 5.35, momentum favors a higher close. Risks: this is the weakest-conviction pick. The stock swung from 4.83 to 6.20 in the first hour, has a 52-week range of 1.09-23.00, and did a $70M equity raise in April; theme-driven rallies can reverse abruptly on profit-taking, a new offering or cooling headlines. Market cap of about $249.70M is at the current quote.
   Return: -10.56%; alpha: -10.56%.
5. SRZN down — confidence 50%. Source session: Surrozen, a Wnt-pathway ophthalmology biotech, rose 108.42% on September 24 to 33.68. Catalyst (sympathy): the move appears tied to Merck's remigromig data validating the Wnt-agonist approach in retinal disease. On September 25, H.C. Wainwright raised its target to $54 from $44, citing the Merck data. Surrozen's own lead asset, SZN-8141, only had its IND submitted September 8, and initial clinical data are expected in 2027, so the re-rating rests on read-through rather than company-specific data. Thesis: reversal down. The live quote at 10:28 AM ET on 2026-09-25 is 33.40 (-0.83%), with an intraday range of 32.43-37.83 after opening at 34.72; the stock has already rejected a push above the prior close. Sympathy doublings in cash-burning biotechs, with trailing net losses over $300M against a roughly $393M market cap, often see profit-taking and financing risk after the spike. Risks: analyst targets of $44.80 average and $54 at H.C. Wainwright give dip buyers a rationale; further positive Merck commentary or partnership speculation could extend the rally; the move is only slightly negative so far, so this is a close call. Market cap of about $392.57M is at the current quote.
   Return: -10.95%; alpha: 10.94%.

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Gemini 1.5 Pro

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US equity markets are exhibiting mixed price action following Thursday's pronounced tech sector weakness. Investors are recalibrating portfolios based on individual corporate earnings and sector-specific news. We identify five extreme intraday movers for the September 25, 2026 session. Some stocks with substantive catalysts, such as TD Synnex, are expected to continue their momentum, while speculative bounces in weaker sectors are anticipated to reverse.

1. MTC down — confidence 85%. Rank 1. MMTec is experiencing a severe intraday selloff on September 25, dropping 14.79% to $5.82 based on live delayed quotes. This intense downward pressure lacks any fundamental news support to stem the bleeding, making it a highly speculative momentum flush. We expect a continuation of the bearish trend into the next session.
   Return: -5.24%; alpha: 5.23%.
2. SNX up — confidence 80%. Rank 2. TD Synnex is rebounding strongly today, up 4.65% to $271.54 following a nearly 10% drop yesterday. The market is finally digesting its positive earnings, updated guidance, and robust dividend/buyback announcements. This substantive catalyst supports a continuation of the upward momentum as institutional buyers recognize the value disconnect.
   Return: -5.87%; alpha: -5.88%.
3. ARM up — confidence 75%. Rank 3. Arm Holdings is up 3.50% intraday to $317.06, recovering from a steep 7.8% drop yesterday that was caused by concerns over SoftBank's margin loans. The underlying AI licensing growth thesis remains highly substantive. We expect dip buyers to continue supporting the stock, driving an upward continuation into the next session.
   Return: -10.68%; alpha: -10.69%.
4. FSLR down — confidence 70%. Rank 4. First Solar is experiencing a speculative bounce today, up 3.03% to $177.38 after plunging over 10% yesterday. Given the broader macro headwinds and softening sentiment in the renewable energy space, this intraday strength is likely a dead-cat bounce. We forecast a downward reversal as heavy selling pressure resumes.
   Return: -0.90%; alpha: 0.90%.
5. CRWV up — confidence 65%. Rank 5. CoreWeave is trading down 3.08% to $87.35, extending short-term weakness. However, as a premier player in AI cloud infrastructure with massive forward revenue visibility, the company possesses strong substantive growth drivers. We expect this minor intraday dip to attract buyers, resulting in an upward reversal during the target session.
   Return: -2.31%; alpha: -2.32%.

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Muse Spark 1.1

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Source session Sep 25 2026 Nasdaq mixed but with clear outlier moves: Monolithic Power +8.06% and Shopify +7.12% led Nasdaq gainers, Seagate +4.85% also top gainer, while Adobe -4.52% led losers. Costco +2.48% was strong on earnings beat. Market closed near flat, so next session Sep 28 likely sees continuation in high-beta AI/storage names and mean reversion in oversold software. Selecting five large-cap verified movers to avoid low-price low-cap exclusion.

1. MPWR up — confidence 70%. Top Nasdaq gainer Sep 25 +8.06% per HDFC Sky report. MPWR intraday live 1352.83 on Sep 25, market cap 66.48B confirms >1B exclusion passes. Catalyst is substantive: AI power management demand and data-center power design wins driving momentum. Continuation hypothesis: previous_change_percent positive, so continuation means direction up. Expect follow-through Sep 28 as AI power theme persists. Price quoted is live Sep 25 from stockanalysis, not yesterday close. Risks: high P/E 81, overbought near 52-week high 1714.
   Return: -0.72%; alpha: -0.73%.
2. SHOP up — confidence 65%. Second top Nasdaq gainer Sep 25 +7.12% same source as MPWR. SHOP price 145.20 live Sep 25 from Tickertape, market cap 183.18B from stockanalysis confirms large cap. Catalyst appears speculative rotation into e-commerce platform on rate cut hopes, not specific earnings. Continuation up expected as momentum carries into Sep 28 open. Previous_change_percent positive so continuation is up. Live intraday quote used, not stale close. Risks: retail spending soft, valuation high, reversal possible if market fades.
   Return: -2.85%; alpha: -2.85%.
3. STX up — confidence 62%. Seagate listed as top Nasdaq gainer +4.85% Sep 25 per HDFC Sky, consistent with storage supercycle with Micron. Finnhub current 906.74, high 924.36, previous close 905.92, market cap 179.79B per Marketbeat confirms large cap. Catalyst substantive: nearline HDD demand for AI data lakes, 5-day +17.48% shows continuation. Hypothesis continuation up because previous_change_percent positive. Intraday live quote Sep 25 used. Risks: cyclical memory, high price near $1145 high, profit-taking.
   Return: -2.41%; alpha: -2.42%.
4. ADBE up — confidence 60%. Top Nasdaq loser Sep 25 -4.52% per HDFC Sky, Adobe price 239.57 intraday from Finnhub, market cap 92.4B from stockanalysis, so passes exclusion. Previous_change_percent negative, so reversal hypothesis means direction up. Catalyst is AI disruption fears in creative software, speculative overreaction; oversold bounce expected Sep 28 as stock near 52-week low 190. Finnhub quote is live Sep 25, not yesterday close. Risks: continued AI competition, 5-day -7.06% downtrend may continue, so continuation down is possible.
   Return: -3.98%; alpha: -3.98%.
5. COST down — confidence 58%. Costco up +2.4864% Sep 25 on Q4 earnings beat reported Sep 24 after close, per Finnhub current 918.77 change +22.29. Market cap 398.87B confirms large cap. Previous_change_percent positive +2.48% so reversal hypothesis means direction down: expecting fade of earnings pop on Sep 28 after two-day run. Catalyst substantive: sales rose 11.2% to $93.9B, EPS $6.75 beat $6.54, but includes $0.15 tariff refund one-off. Intraday live quote used. Risks: membership model defensive, may continue up instead of reversing.
   Return: 0.90%; alpha: -0.90%.

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Perplexity

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The source-session mover data show unusually strong dispersion, led by Akamai and Datadog among larger, verifiable companies and by low-cap speculative names such as CNET and MGLD. I favor continuation for Akamai and Datadog because the observed moves were accompanied by identifiable market catalysts, while I favor reversal for CNET, MGLD and WidePoint because extreme low-cap percentage moves are more vulnerable to profit-taking. The source-session list was captured during September 25 trading rather than after the regular session close, so the reported previous_change_percent values are the latest source-session figures available from the cited mover source. [68][72][76]

1. AKAM up — confidence 78%. Akamai ranks first because it was a large-cap mover with an observed source-session gain of 10.45% in Morningstar's live mover list, while another source identified a major contract as the catalyst and reported a much larger intraday move. I classify this as continuation rather than reversal because the catalyst appears substantive, although the extreme run-up increases profit-taking risk. The latest quote I could verify was $133.22 on September 25 during the regular session, and the market cap was reported as $15.87 billion. [68][76][86]
   Return: -5.97%; alpha: -5.97%.
2. DDOG up — confidence 72%. Datadog ranks second because it posted an observed 8.75% source-session gain in Morningstar's mover list and had a verifiable latest quote of $266.38 near the September 25 open, with market capitalization around $95.65 billion. The continuation hypothesis reflects strong software-sector momentum and the absence of a clearly negative company-specific catalyst; the main risk is that the sharp move was momentum-driven and could mean-revert if technology leadership fades. [68][91]
   Return: -1.86%; alpha: -1.87%.
3. CNET down — confidence 68%. CNET ranks third as a high-risk reversal candidate after an observed 92.37% source-session gain, the largest gain listed by StockSetups. The move is speculative rather than clearly substantive: the available sources confirm the price surge and very small market capitalization but do not establish a durable fundamental catalyst. I therefore forecast a down direction as reversal relative to the prior positive change. The latest quote I could verify was $2.30 on September 25, and the market cap was approximately $8.4 million; the low price and micro-cap status do not trigger the stated exclusion because the exclusion requires both a close below $1 and market cap below $1 billion. [72][104]
   Return: 6.34%; alpha: -6.35%.
4. MGLD down — confidence 66%. MGLD ranks fourth as a reversal candidate after an observed 89.31% source-session gain. The move is speculative: the cited sources verify a very large percentage increase and a micro-cap valuation but do not provide a substantive fundamental announcement explaining the move. I forecast a down direction because extreme low-cap advances are especially exposed to profit-taking and liquidity-driven reversals. The latest quote I could verify was $1.940 at 9:32 a.m. EDT on September 25, with a market cap of approximately $42.71 million. [72][96][99]
   Return: 9.07%; alpha: -9.07%.
5. WYY up — confidence 63%. WidePoint ranks fifth as a reversal candidate after an observed 35.78% source-session decline, the largest loss listed by StockSetups. The move appears more speculative than substantive because the available mover evidence confirms the decline but does not identify a definitive company-specific catalyst. I forecast an up direction as a reversal of the negative source-session change, while recognizing that weak liquidity and continued selling pressure could overwhelm any rebound. The latest quote I could verify was $9.93 on September 25, and the market cap was reported as $99.28 million. [72][101]
   Return: 8.61%; alpha: 8.60%.

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Grok 4.5

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Intraday action on September 25 shows sharp moves in AI infrastructure and select energy names on deal news while micro-cap volatility dominates percentage lists. Large-cap technology and energy react to the Anthropic-Akamai announcement and broader yield/oil crosscurrents. Expect residual momentum into the next session with mixed continuation versus mean-reversion risk after large single-day swings.

1. AKAM up — confidence 72%. Akamai is up sharply today following the prior-day $11.6 billion Anthropic cloud deal announcement. Previous change is positive so hypothesis is continuation with direction up into the next session. Catalyst is substantive multi-year AI infrastructure commitment. Reference price is the latest intraday quote around mid-morning EDT; market cap confirmed above $17 billion. Risk is profit-taking after the large move.
   Return: -5.97%; alpha: -5.97%.
2. AESI up — confidence 65%. Atlas Energy Solutions appears among today's top percentage gainers with a double-digit advance. Previous change is positive so hypothesis is continuation and direction up. Catalyst appears linked to energy infrastructure positioning amid oil-price volatility. Reference price is latest available intraday; market cap exceeds $1.6 billion so the name clears the exclusion filter. Risk is sector-wide energy weakness.
   Return: -2.10%; alpha: -2.11%.
3. APUS up — confidence 55%. Apimeds Pharmaceuticals is among the strongest percentage gainers today on elevated volume. Previous change is strongly positive so hypothesis is continuation and direction up. Catalyst is speculative micro-cap momentum rather than a clearly verified fundamental event. Reference price is latest available; market cap is small but price is well above $1 so the name is not excluded. Risk is extreme volatility and potential reversal.
   Return: -14.47%; alpha: -14.48%.
4. WYY down — confidence 58%. WidePoint Corporation is among the largest percentage losers today. Previous change is sharply negative so hypothesis is continuation and direction down. Catalyst appears technical/speculative given the magnitude of the decline. Reference price is latest available; market cap is modest but price is above $1 so the name clears exclusion. Risk is a sharp bounce after such a large single-day drop.
   Return: 8.61%; alpha: -8.61%.
5. KITT down — confidence 52%. Nauticus Robotics is listed among today's steeper percentage losers. Previous change is negative so hypothesis is continuation and direction down. Catalyst is speculative micro-cap selling pressure. Reference price is latest available; market cap is small but price exceeds $1 so the name is not excluded under the dual filter. Risk is high volatility and possible short-covering reversal.
   Return: -17.52%; alpha: 17.51%.

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DeepSeek

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US equities are modestly higher Friday morning, with the S&P 500 up about 0.3% and the Nasdaq 100 up about 0.6%, as falling oil prices and easing bond-market stress support risk appetite. The Akamai-Anthropic cloud deal is the dominant corporate catalyst, lifting the AI-infrastructure complex. Costco's better-than-expected Q4 results and BlackBerry's guidance raise add to a constructive but selective tape. With market breadth still narrow, single-stock catalysts should dominate index-level moves. I favor high-conviction extreme movers with clear catalysts for the next session.

1. INLF down — confidence 85%. INLIF surged approximately 94.58% on Friday after reporting unaudited first-half fiscal 2026 results showing net revenue up 26.01% to $12.94 million, gross profit up 158.77% to $4.65 million, gross margin expansion to 35.95% from 17.50%, and net income of $1.01 million reversing a prior-year loss. The move is driven by a micro-cap with a small float and a speculative narrative around its new intelligent equipment division. I forecast a reversal (direction down) because the extreme single-session gain is likely to attract profit-taking, and the stock remains near its 52-week low of $2.12. Risks: momentum could persist if retail interest remains elevated, and the low float makes the stock prone to sharp squeezes in either direction.
   Return: -17.76%; alpha: 17.75%.
2. AKAM up — confidence 80%. Akamai jumped approximately 14.2% on Friday after announcing a seven-year, $11.6 billion cloud services commitment from Anthropic, with provisions allowing expansion by up to an additional $9 billion for a potential total of ~$20 billion. The deal includes a warrant for Anthropic to buy up to 5% of Akamai at $111.33 per share. Multiple analysts raised price targets, including BofA to $185 and JPMorgan to $167. I forecast a continuation (direction up) because this is a substantive catalyst that fundamentally re-rates Akamai's growth trajectory, and the market is rewarding AI-infrastructure winners. Risks: the stock has already gapped up significantly, so profit-taking is possible, and execution risk on the large infrastructure buildout remains.
   Return: -5.97%; alpha: -5.97%.
3. GLND down — confidence 75%. Greenland Energy surged 83.85% on Thursday after announcing an extension of its Jameson Land Farm-Out Agreement with 80 Mile plc, and the stock continued higher on Friday, trading around $6.28 after reaching a daily high of $6.50. The move is driven by a small-cap exploration company with no revenue and a highly speculative catalyst tied to Greenland resource exploration. I forecast a reversal (direction down) because the magnitude of the move is not supported by fundamentals, and speculative small-caps with no revenue often give back gains after an initial spike. Risks: the stock could continue to run if the exploration narrative gains further traction, and the low float amplifies volatility in both directions.
   Return: -10.56%; alpha: 10.55%.
4. FSLR up — confidence 62%. First Solar fell 10.32% on Thursday to close at $172.16, a sharp decline attributed to technical weakness and continued pressure on the solar sector. On Friday, the stock is bouncing modestly, trading around $173.25, up about 0.63% from Thursday's close. I forecast a continuation (direction up) of the modest bounce because the stock is deeply oversold after a 10% single-session drop, and some buyers may step in at these levels. Risks: the solar sector remains under pressure from policy uncertainty and competitive dynamics, and the bounce may prove short-lived if broader selling resumes.
   Return: -0.90%; alpha: -0.91%.
5. GEN up — confidence 60%. Gen Digital fell 12.05% on Thursday to close at $23.07, a sharp decline likely driven by sector-wide pressure or a company-specific disappointment. On Friday, the stock is ticking higher in premarket trading to around $23.33, up about 1.14%. I forecast a continuation (direction up) of the modest premarket bounce because the stock is oversold after a double-digit decline, and value-oriented buyers may find the valuation attractive at these levels. Risks: the selling pressure could resume if the original catalyst for Thursday's decline remains unresolved, and the broader technology sector faces headwinds from rising yields.
   Return: -6.53%; alpha: -6.54%.

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How models have done in Extreme Movers

ForecastNest's own settled Extreme Movers runs at this horizon, up to and including this one. Members' own research is not counted. Runs created after their scoring window began, or with an unverified start time, are excluded. The chart is the average directional return per run. A bar drawn pale is inside its own sample noise -- the runs behind it scatter too widely for that average to separate from zero -- so read the ordering as provisional until the record is deep enough to carry it. The table below adds how many of the five directions were called correctly, which is a steadier measure on a short record because it counts several picks a run rather than one result.

Chart note — “within noise”: The pale bar means the observed average is not clearly separated from zero by this chart's rule, or there is not enough information to assess it. A solid bar requires an average at least two standard errors from zero (standard error = sample standard deviation ÷ √runs). Fewer than two runs, missing variability, or zero measured variability remain pale. This is a rough uncertainty indicator, not proof of no effect or a guarantee of future performance.

Model	Runs	Avg directions called correctly	Avg directional return
DeepSeek	8	55.00%	+2.51%
Grok 4	1	60.00%	+1.47%
Muse Spark 1.1	7	40.00%	+0.10%
Grok 4.5	5	44.00%	+0.07%
Claude Opus 5	6	60.00%	+0.03%
Gemini 1.5 Pro	7	48.57%	-0.42%
Perplexity	1	20.00%	-2.92%
GPT-5.6 Sol	5	52.00%	-4.68%
Claude Opus 5.5	1	20.00%	-5.05%
GPT-6	1	20.00%	-9.71%

View settlement prices

Symbol	Start	End	Source	Notes
ADBE	239.51500000	229.99000000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ADBE/history/
AESI	12.85000000	12.58000000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AESI/history/
AKAM	118.60000000	111.52500000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AKAM/history/
APUS	6.76990000	5.79000000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/APUS/history/
ARM	317.04000000	283.17000000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ARM/history/
CNET	1.92790000	2.05010000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CNET/history/
COST	918.55000000	926.78500000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/COST/history/
CRWV	87.47000000	85.45000000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CRWV/history/
DDOG	273.38000000	268.29500000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DDOG/history/
FSLR	177.10000000	175.50000000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/FSLR/history/
GEN	22.50500000	21.03500000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GEN/history/
GLND	5.71500000	5.11160000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GLND/history/
INLF	5.26500000	4.33000000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/INLF/history/
KITT	2.34000000	1.93000000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/KITT/history/
MGLD	1.93000000	2.10500000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MGLD/history/
MPWR	1348.88000000	1339.16000000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MPWR/history/
MTC	5.82000000	5.51500000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MTC/history/
SCHL	32.26000000	32.86500000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SCHL/history/
SFIX	2.15500000	2.39020000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SFIX/history/
SHOP	142.55000000	138.49310000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SHOP/history/
SNX	273.50000000	257.44500000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SNX/history/
SPY	767.40000000	767.45000000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/history/
SRZN	33.62000000	29.94000000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SRZN/history/
STAK	1.14000000	1.14280000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/STAK/history/
STX	906.65000000	884.81000000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/STX/history/
WTTR	20.35000000	20.20000000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WTTR/history/
WYY	4.88000000	5.30000000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WYY/history/
ZS	196.99000000	197.03000000	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ZS/history/

Standard prompt extreme-movers-v9, SHA-256 066c0ed65631d343e14da3a3823945b31895b3574c6b59f56988b0c6e9814ca3. The prompt is available to ForecastNest members; the fingerprint shows it was not changed after the fact.

Calculation: extreme-movers-v1.