Excluded from performance statistics: Event Gaps forecasts must be created during regular US market hours. Historical results below are retained for audit only.
Asked Sep 9, 9:04 PM EDT (after hours). GPT-5.6 Sol, Muse Spark 1.1, Gemini 1.5 Pro, Grok 4.5, Gemini 3 Pro and Claude Opus 5 answered the same standard prompt independently. Window: 2026-09-09 to 2026-09-10 (1 trading session). Benchmark: SPY.
Long positions scored on the target session’s open-to-close return minus SPY’s. Gap calls are graded separately. In each chart SPY is on the left and the picks on the right, every candle drawn from zero to that asset's move; ✓ marks a pick that beat SPY from the open.
| Model | Correct | Hit rate | Return | SPY | Intraday alpha |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | 4/5 | 80.00% | -1.99% | -0.03% | -1.97% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | 2/5 | 40.00% | -0.07% | -0.03% | -0.04% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | 3/5 | 60.00% | 0.16% | -0.03% | 0.18% |
| Grok 4.5 | 3/5 | 60.00% | 0.31% | -0.03% | 0.33% |
| Gemini 3 Pro | 3/5 | 60.00% | 1.35% | -0.03% | 1.38% |
| Claude Opus 5 | 3/5 | 60.00% | -0.10% | -0.03% | -0.08% |
GPT-5.6 Sol
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The September 10 opening setup is dominated by fresh after-hours earnings reactions and several officially scheduled premarket reports. The broad backdrop is risk-sensitive: the S&P 500 fell 0.48% on September 9, Brent crude settled above $101, the 10-year Treasury yield was near 4.84%, and U.S. PPI is due during the September 10 morning. For the primary open-to-close score, I prefer situations where the initial gap could be followed by stabilization or continued fundamental repricing rather than names whose entire catalyst appears exhausted before the bell.
- COO — confidence 79%. The earnings event has occurred. CooperCompanies reported fiscal Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.15, slightly above consensus, but revenue of about $1.066 billion missed expectations and the company cut its annual profit outlook amid weak contact-lens demand. Extended-hours data showed a decline of roughly 16%, making a large negative September 10 opening gap highly probable. The gap forecast is down, but the open-to-close thesis is more constructive: a double-digit opening reset could already discount much of the guidance disappointment, creating room for stabilization or partial recovery if investors focus on record free cash flow, share repurchases and the completed strategic review. The main risk is continued estimate reductions and persistent concern about organic growth, which could keep selling pressure active after the open.
Return: 4.41%; alpha: 4.44%. - AVAV — confidence 76%. The earnings event has occurred and produced a positive after-hours response. AeroVironment reported fiscal Q1 adjusted EPS of $0.59 versus roughly $0.22 expected, revenue of $480.5 million versus about $452 million expected, and funded backlog of $1.5 billion, up 37% year over year. Shares rose about 3% after hours after falling more than 5% during the regular session. I expect an upward opening gap, with some potential for continued open-to-close strength because the results directly address recent concerns about growth and backlog quality. The risk is that management maintained rather than raised its full-year outlook and that defense-sector sentiment remains volatile, so the initial earnings relief could fade after the opening auction.
Return: 0.20%; alpha: 0.23%. - SKIL — confidence 72%. The earnings event has occurred by the time of the company's scheduled 5:00 PM ET results call. Reported adjusted EPS of $1.17 exceeded the approximately $0.83 consensus, while revenue of $98.25 million was slightly below the roughly $99 million estimate. Despite the EPS beat, extended-hours data showed SKIL down more than 10%, indicating that investors were focused on revenue quality or forward expectations rather than headline earnings. I expect a sizable downward gap. Because the primary score is open-to-close, the ranking assumes some possibility of stabilization after a heavily discounted opening; the largest risk is that the after-hours decline reflects deeper concerns from management commentary that continue through the next session.
Return: -22.98%; alpha: -22.95%. - M — confidence 66%. The catalyst is officially scheduled but has not occurred at the prediction timestamp. Macy's will report fiscal Q2 results before the September 10 market open, with its earnings call scheduled for 8:00 AM ET. Analysts cited by TipRanks expect revenue around $4.81 billion, down roughly 4% year over year, and adjusted EPS of about $0.37, down from $0.41. Persistent consumer pressure, high oil prices and elevated interest rates create downside sensitivity if comparable sales or guidance disappoint. I forecast a downward opening gap, but the confidence is lower than for already-reported companies because the result itself is unknown. The open-to-close path could reverse upward if the initial reaction is excessively negative or if management raises guidance; conversely, weak comparable sales and cautious guidance could extend losses.
Return: 1.23%; alpha: 1.26%. - DBI — confidence 63%. The catalyst is officially scheduled and remains uncertain at the prediction timestamp. Designer Brands will issue fiscal Q2 results before its 8:30 AM ET September 10 conference call. Its previous quarter showed improving gross margin and better-than-expected adjusted EPS, but the company still guided full-year sales to a range of down 1% to up 1%, leaving the stock highly sensitive to DSW comparable sales, footwear demand and guidance. With consumer discretionary conditions pressured by high energy costs and interest rates, I forecast a downward opening gap if results fail to demonstrate continued margin improvement. The opposite risk is substantial: another EPS beat or stronger full-year guidance could instead produce a sharp gap up, which is why confidence is the lowest of the five. Any opening decline could also partially reverse intraday if gross-margin trends remain strong.
Return: 7.16%; alpha: 7.18%.
Muse Spark 1.1
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Source Sep 9 close ends quiet summer. Target Sep 10 is heavy earnings day: Q1 FY27 AVAV defense tech after close Sep 9, Q3 COO medical devices after close Sep 9, Q2 CAL footwear before open Sep 9 already released, plus anticipation for Sep 10 after close mega caps ORCL Q1 FY27 and ADBE Q3 FY26 officially scheduled. SPY $765.88 Sep 8 baseline. Expect sharp gaps for AVAV and COO on actual prints, and anticipatory gaps up for ORCL and ADBE as AI cloud optimism builds into session, with CAL gapping down on weak footwear guide. Equal-weight LONG portfolio targets open-to-close continuation after overnight gaps vs SPY.
- AVAV — confidence 70%. Scheduled after close Sep 9 Q1 FY27, consensus $0.30 EPS $459.9M revenue muted growth. Defense drone demand and Ukraine contracts could surprise. Occurrence is scheduled, not yet observed as of prediction time early Sep 10. Anticipation of beat could drive gap up at Sep 10 open if preliminary leak. Substantive catalyst: DoD spending. Expect continuation open-to-close long as beat sustains, but emotional fade risk if guide soft.
Return: 0.20%; alpha: 0.23%. - COO — confidence 68%. Scheduled after close Sep 9 Q3 FY26, Street $1.11 EPS $1.1B revenue minimal YoY growth. Medical instruments defensive, beat would support gap up. Event scheduled and has occurred after Sep 9 close by target open. Substantive earnings. Expect gap up 2.5% and open-to-close continuation if margins improve, vs SPY.
Return: 4.41%; alpha: 4.44%. - ORCL — confidence 75%. Officially scheduled Sep 10 after close Q1 FY27, announced Sep 2 PRNewswire. Consensus $1.74 EPS $19.13B revenue, prior Q beat $2.11 vs $1.96, RPO $638B and OCI growth 58-64% guide. Event has not yet occurred at target open, but anticipation affects Sep 10 session now as traders front-run. Substantive catalyst: cloud backlog. Expect gap up 2% at Sep 10 open on pre-earnings momentum vs SPY, with open-to-close continuation if positioning stays long. Risk emotional reversal if expectations too high.
Return: -3.43%; alpha: -3.41%. - ADBE — confidence 70%. Officially scheduled Sep 10 after close Q3 FY26, announced Aug 31 Business Wire, call 2-3pm PT. Consensus around $4.7 EPS. AI monetization of Firefly and Document Cloud key. Event scheduled future but anticipation lifts Sep 10 session. Substantive software earnings. Expect gap up 1.8% at open on sympathy with ORCL cloud strength. Open-to-close long continuation if guidance steady. Risk: creative cloud churn concerns could cause fade.
Return: -1.18%; alpha: -1.16%. - CAL — confidence 66%. Occurred event Sep 9 before open: Q2 2026 results moved earlier from Sep 10 to Sep 9, consensus $0.37 EPS $702M revenue. Footwear retail weak after LULU -17% guide cut. CAL reported before open Sep 9, so by Sep 9 close results known, but gap diagnostic for Sep 10 reflects delayed reaction or second-day continuation. Expect gap down 3% at Sep 10 open if sales miss and guide low single digits, but open-to-close LONG bounce as oversold bargain hunting vs SPY. Event occurred, substantive retail.
Return: -0.34%; alpha: -0.31%.
Gemini 1.5 Pro
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Heading into Thursday, September 10, 2026, broader market sentiment remains cautious due to elevated crude oil prices and inflation concerns. However, the pre-market session is driven by highly idiosyncratic catalysts. Companies that reported weak forward guidance or missed revenue estimates in Wednesday's after-hours session are facing severe distribution. Conversely, firms announcing proactive debt restructuring, raising their operational outlooks, or preparing for high-stakes earnings reports today are experiencing pronounced positioning shifts that will materialize as sharp opening gaps.
- COO — confidence 90%. Cooper Companies reported its fiscal Q3 results, beating EPS estimates but missing top-line revenue expectations. More importantly, the company issued softer-than-expected guidance for both Q4 and the full fiscal year, citing channel inventory reductions at CooperVision. This forward-looking weakness sparked a severe 16% selloff in Wednesday's after-hours session. The magnitude of the after-hours distribution indicates a highly probable gap down at Thursday's open, with significant emotional continuation risk driving early selling pressure before value buyers attempt to establish a fundamental floor.
Return: 4.41%; alpha: 4.44%. - IQV — confidence 85%. IQVIA Holdings announced the pricing of a massive $2 billion senior notes offering due 2034 at 6.375% to refinance existing debt. The market reacted positively to this proactive balance sheet management, sending shares up over 4% in after-hours trading. This debt restructuring effectively extends maturities and reduces near-term liquidity risks. The favorable institutional reception guarantees a definitive gap up at the open. The primary risk is a potential intraday fade if traders view the after-hours pop as fully pricing in the refinancing benefits.
Return: 1.07%; alpha: 1.10%. - BAX — confidence 80%. During Wednesday's Wells Fargo Healthcare Conference, Baxter International's management raised its full-year 2026 operational growth outlook to 2%-3% and highlighted successful debt reduction efforts. These positive corporate updates injected optimism into the turnaround narrative, lifting shares over 2% in extended trading. We expect a solid gap up at Thursday's open as institutional investors recalibrate their models to reflect the improved cash flow generation. The main risk is that ongoing supply-chain issues highlighted by management could cap upside momentum during regular trading hours.
Return: 0.12%; alpha: 0.15%. - ADBE — confidence 75%. Adobe is officially scheduled to release its highly anticipated Q3 2026 earnings report after the market closes on September 10. Anticipation is heavily clouded by a recent unexpected CEO succession announcement, which previously sent shares tumbling. Options markets are pricing in a substantial 7.2% move upon release. This high degree of anxiety and defensive positioning is expected to drive a gap down at Thursday's open as investors actively de-risk their portfolios ahead of the print. The downside gap reflects cautious pre-positioning rather than an observed fundamental failure.
Return: -1.18%; alpha: -1.16%. - CPRT — confidence 70%. Copart is scheduled to report its quarterly earnings after the closing bell on September 10. Analysts anticipate strong results, with revenue expected to hit $1.14 billion. The company has demonstrated exceptional operational efficiency and strong free cash flow generation. Anticipatory buying ahead of the report should create a positive gap at the open as momentum traders and institutions position for an earnings beat. The primary emotional continuation risk is that the stock's relatively high valuation could prompt rapid profit-taking if the actual earnings release fails to deliver an immaculate quarter.
Return: -3.64%; alpha: -3.61%.
Grok 4.5
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After-hours trading on September 9 was dominated by earnings reactions, with several consumer and healthcare names selling off on guidance or qualitative commentary despite some headline beats, while select industrials and energy names held residual strength from the oil rally. Sharp opening gaps are expected in the most reactive post-earnings names.
- COO — confidence 72%. Cooper Companies reported Q3 results after the close and simultaneously announced it would retain CooperSurgical after a strategic review, while cutting full-year revenue and EPS guidance below consensus. The combination of a guidance cut and the strategic outcome triggered a sharp after-hours decline. Emotional continuation risk is high if selling pressure persists into the open. The gap is expected lower; the subsequent open-to-close path remains uncertain.
Return: 4.41%; alpha: 4.44%. - AEO — confidence 65%. American Eagle Outfitters reported Q2 results after the close that beat on EPS and revenue, yet the stock sold off in after-hours trading on margin and qualitative concerns. The negative reaction despite a beat sets up a gap lower at the open. Continuation risk exists if retail sentiment remains weak.
Return: -1.09%; alpha: -1.06%. - NAVN — confidence 62%. Navan reported Q2 results after the close that beat estimates and included raised guidance, but the stock declined in after-hours trading amid profit-taking and broader software pressure. The gap is expected lower on the residual selling. Risks include a rebound if the beat-and-raise is reassessed positively.
Return: -5.28%; alpha: -5.26%. - AVAV — confidence 58%. AeroVironment reported fiscal Q1 results after the close that substantially beat adjusted EPS and revenue estimates. The positive surprise produced an after-hours advance. A gap higher is expected at the open on the earnings strength. Risks include any broader market pressure or profit-taking.
Return: 0.20%; alpha: 0.23%. - CHWY — confidence 55%. Chewy reported results earlier on September 9 that were roughly in line but produced a sharp decline on cautious full-year commentary. Residual negative sentiment is expected to produce a gap lower at the next open. Emotional continuation risk remains elevated given the magnitude of the prior session move.
Return: 3.28%; alpha: 3.31%.
Gemini 3 Pro
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US equities fell for a third consecutive session on Wednesday, September 9, with the S&P 500 down 0.5% to 7,636.36 and the Dow off 0.8% to 52,380.66. Crude oil topped $100/bbl on escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, and the 10-year Treasury yield moved higher toward 4.84%. After-hours trading saw sharp moves on earnings and corporate announcements: ASO surged 14%, NET climbed 10.5%, COO dropped 18%, AEO fell 12%, NAVN slid 17%, and AVAV rose 3-4%. Thursday's session features Oracle and Adobe earnings after the close and Macy's before the open.
- ASO — confidence 82%. Thesis: Academy Sports and Outdoors surged 14.40% in after-hours trading to $51.15 following a Q2 earnings beat and raised full-year guidance. Adjusted EPS of $2.31 beat the $2.08 consensus, and the company lifted its fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $6.50-$6.90 from $6.40-$6.80. The stock had closed the regular session at $44.70 before the after-hours spike. The magnitude of the after-hours move and the clean beat-and-raise setup suggest strong continuation buying at Thursday's open. Risks: The stock has already moved sharply higher in extended trading, and some profit-taking at the open is possible. Consumer discretionary retail remains sensitive to macro headwinds, including rising gas prices and pressure on lower-income households.
Return: 8.13%; alpha: 8.15%. - NET — confidence 78%. Thesis: Cloudflare closed the regular session up 10.57% at $314.35, leading the day's gainers among 111 priority names, driven by AI partnership announcements with OpenAI and SpaceX. The stock continued its momentum in after-hours trading, though it settled slightly lower at $313.59. The strength reflects growing investor conviction in Cloudflare's positioning as a key beneficiary of AI infrastructure and security demand. The stock closed above its previous resistance level, and the sector-wide rotation into AI infrastructure names supports further upside. Risks: The stock has rallied sharply over multiple sessions, and president Michelle Zatlyn's $27.6 million stock sale reported on September 9 could raise insider-selling concerns. Any broad technology pullback could reverse the gains.
Return: -0.70%; alpha: -0.67%. - COO — confidence 85%. Thesis: Cooper Companies dropped 18% in after-hours trading following an official announcement that its board unanimously voted to retain its CooperSurgical unit rather than sell it, concluding a strategic review process active since December 2025. The decision was accompanied by downbeat Q4 and full-year guidance, with Q4 EPS projected at $1.05-$1.09 versus $1.19 consensus and full-year revenue expected at $4.229-$4.252 billion versus $4.31 billion expected. The stock had already declined 6.22% in the regular session to close at $63.48. The combination of a failed strategic catalyst and weak guidance creates a high-conviction gap-down scenario. Risks: The magnitude of the after-hours decline may invite bargain-hunting at the open, potentially limiting the gap. However, the fundamental disappointment is substantial.
Return: 4.41%; alpha: 4.44%. - NAVN — confidence 76%. Thesis: Navan beat Q2 estimates on both lines, reporting adjusted EPS of $0.05 on revenue of $232.8 million, above forecasts for $0.04 and $220.5 million. Revenue rose 35% year-over-year, and the company raised full-year guidance. Despite the beat-and-raise, the stock fell sharply 17.45% in after-hours trading to $21.37 after closing the regular session at $25.89. The negative reaction suggests investors were looking for a larger beat or were disappointed by the quality of growth. The substantial after-hours decline points to a gap-down open on Thursday. Risks: The stock could rebound if investors refocus on the strong revenue growth and raised guidance. However, the market's negative initial reaction is a powerful signal for the open.
Return: -5.28%; alpha: -5.26%. - AVAV — confidence 72%. Thesis: AeroVironment reported fiscal Q1 results after the close on September 9 that exceeded analyst expectations, with adjusted EPS of $0.59 beating the $0.30 consensus by $0.29, and record revenue of $480.5 million. The defense contractor reaffirmed its full-year fiscal 2027 revenue guidance of $2.125-$2.225 billion and reported a record funded backlog of $1.5 billion, up 37% year-over-year. Shares rose over 4% in after-hours trading to around $144.22 after declining 5.36% in the regular session to $140.80. The strong beat and record backlog support a gap-up open. Risks: The stock's after-hours move was more modest than other movers, and defense stocks can be sensitive to geopolitical developments. The reaffirmed guidance midpoint fell slightly below consensus, which could temper upside.
Return: 0.20%; alpha: 0.23%.
Claude Opus 5
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Wednesday September 9 produced a dense after-close earnings slate, and four names carry verified extended-hours dislocations into the September 10 open, with a fifth reporting before that open. Every after-hours figure below was checked individually against quote data captured near the 8:00pm EDT close of extended trading rather than taken from an aggregated mover list. The backdrop matters more than usual: SPY closed at $762.40, down 0.46%, Brent crossed $100 for the first time since late July at $100.80, and Treasury yields set fresh 52-week highs after US forces struck five Iranian tankers and Iran fired ballistic missiles at a US Navy warship. Critically, August PPI and weekly jobless claims are officially scheduled for 8:30am ET on September 10, an hour before the open — meaning the opening prints will already embed the macro reaction, so my gap forecasts are deliberately not straight copies of the after-hours marks. Deep after-hours dislocations usually compress somewhat as liquidity returns at the open, and a hot producer-price reading with crude above $100 would compress the up-gaps and widen the down-gaps. On the scoring: this is an equal-weight long portfolio measured open-to-close, so the four gap-down selections are bets on intraday stabilisation after the opening print, not short positions. That distinction drives the ranking — I rank highest the names whose reported fundamentals were good, because a gap driven by valuation or positioning rather than by deteriorating results is the one that tends to find a bid during the session, while guidance cuts and removed strategic optionality carry genuine emotional continuation risk into a second and third day. Oracle and Adobe report after Thursday's close, so they cannot gap at the open and are excluded.
- AVAV — confidence 56%. Thesis: this is the only clean up-gap in the group and the only one where the reported facts exceeded expectations without a caveat. AeroVironment beat fiscal Q1 2027 estimates on revenue of $480.5 million with backlog reaching a record $1.5 billion and reported directed-energy programme wins. The stock had fallen 5.36% during the regular session to close at $140.80, so the after-hours move to $146.40 is a recovery from a depressed base rather than an extension of an already-strong day, which leaves more room for continuation than a stock gapping up from a high. It is also the one name here with macro tailwind rather than headwind: US forces struck five Iranian tankers on September 9 and Iran fired ballistic missiles at a US Navy warship, and unmanned systems and loitering munitions are exactly the procurement category such an environment accelerates. Risks: coverage noted the record backlog masks a margin split between segments, and margin questions have been punished severely in this tape; defence stocks did not respond to Wednesday's escalation at all, with RTX actually falling 0.63%, so the geopolitical tailwind is a hypothesis rather than an observed sector behaviour; and at a $7.10 billion market capitalisation the name is volatile enough to give back a 4% gap within an hour.
Return: 0.20%; alpha: 0.23%. - NAVN — confidence 50%. Thesis: the cleanest fundamentals-intact dislocation available. Navan reported second quarter results that were stronger than expected on both the quarter and the guidance, and the stock fell anyway — Investing.com recorded an 11% decline shortly after the print, and by 5:54pm EDT the extended-hours mark had widened to $21.58, down 16.64% from the $25.89 close. When a company beats on results and raises the bar and the stock still sells off, the cause is positioning, valuation or float dynamics rather than business deterioration, and that is the profile most likely to attract buyers once the opening liquidation clears. There is no negative fundamental datapoint for the market to keep discounting through the session. Risks: this is a recent IPO with a $6.58 billion market capitalisation and a limited float, and newly listed names frequently bleed for multiple sessions on lockup and index-inclusion mechanics that have nothing to do with the quarter; the after-hours decline widened rather than stabilised through the evening, from roughly 11% to nearly 17%, which is the opposite of the pattern I am relying on; and a high-multiple travel-software name is exposed to both the rate backdrop and the fuel-cost implications of crude above $100.
Return: -5.28%; alpha: -5.26%. - AEO — confidence 47%. Thesis: American Eagle reported second quarter fiscal 2026 results after the close with an EPS beat and growth driven by the Aerie brand, but the shares fell on the outlook, marking $15.14 in extended hours at 7:59pm EDT against a $16.89 close. The open-to-close case is that a roughly 10% repricing of a $2.83 billion specialty retailer on guidance tone, when the quarter itself beat and the core growth brand is performing, tends to overshoot and partially retrace once the transcript circulates. Risks: this is a materially lower-quality beat than it first appears, because coverage attributed the EPS upside to tariff refunds rather than operating performance — a one-time item that does not recur and that analysts will strip out of forward models overnight. The consumer backdrop is also actively deteriorating with Brent above $100 feeding into gasoline prices, which is a direct tax on the mall-based teen retail customer, and Macy's fell 4.19% on Wednesday in sympathy positioning. Overnight price-target cuts landing before the open would deepen rather than repair this gap.
Return: -1.09%; alpha: -1.06%. - M — confidence 43%. Thesis and disclosure: this is the one selection whose catalyst has NOT occurred at prediction time. Macy's is officially scheduled to report before the September 10 open, so a sharp gap is near-certain by construction, but the direction is an uncertain expectation reasoned from evidence rather than an observed fact, and I am stating that plainly rather than implying I know the result. The down-gap reasoning: American Eagle fell over 10% in extended hours on its outlook hours earlier, establishing a negative read-through for mall and department-store retail; Macy's itself fell 4.19% to $21.51 during Wednesday's regular session, which reads as pre-positioning ahead of the print; and Brent above $100 is a direct squeeze on discretionary retail spending. The open-to-close case, which is what is actually scored, is that Macy's has a long history of extreme opening reactions that mean-revert substantially during the session as the initial print is digested. Risks: the direction call is a coin flip dressed in a read-through, and if Macy's beats the gap goes the other way entirely; at a $5.66 billion market capitalisation with high short interest the name can squeeze violently in either direction; and PPI at 8:30am ET lands between now and the report's absorption, adding an unrelated macro layer to the opening print.
Return: 1.23%; alpha: 1.26%. - COO — confidence 42%. Thesis: Cooper Companies reported fiscal third quarter 2026 revenue of $1.07 billion and fell hard on two things at once — weak forward guidance and the conclusion of its strategic review. Extended hours marked it at $53.35, down 15.96%, at 7:59pm EDT against a $63.48 close, on top of a 6.22% regular-session loss, so the stock has now lost roughly a fifth of its value across the two moves. The long case for the session is purely mechanical: a 16% repricing of a $12.38 billion medical device company is large enough that value and index-tracking flows typically appear at the open, and healthcare has been an area of forced rotation as investors flee rate-sensitive and oil-exposed sectors. Risks: this is ranked last because the catalyst is the most structurally negative of the five. Concluding a strategic review without a transaction removes an M&A premium that some holders were explicitly paid to own, and that overhang does not return — it is permanent, not sentiment. Guidance cuts in medtech also invite multi-session downgrade cycles, and the sector already has open wounds this week from Stryker's supply-chain disclosure and Boston Scientific's cyberattack-driven guidance miss, so sector sponsorship is weak precisely when this name needs a bid.
Return: 4.41%; alpha: 4.44%.
How models have done in Event Gaps
No eligible settled runs are available at this horizon up to and including this forecast, so there is no overall statistics chart to show. Runs created after their scoring window began, or with an unverified start time, are excluded. Event Gaps forecasts must also be created during regular US market hours. Later runs are not included in this historical snapshot. Original results remain available for audit.
View settlement prices
| Symbol | Start | End | Source | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADBE | 251.81000000 | 248.83000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ADBE/history/ | |
| AEO | 14.69000000 | 14.53000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AEO/history/ | |
| ASO | 50.14000000 | 54.21500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ASO/history/ | |
| AVAV | 146.77000000 | 147.07000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AVAV/history/ | |
| BAX | 24.15000000 | 24.18000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BAX/history/ | |
| CAL | 11.92000000 | 11.88000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CAL/history/ | |
| CHWY | 20.41000000 | 21.08000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CHWY/history/ | |
| COO | 51.88000000 | 54.17000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/COO/history/ | |
| CPRT | 31.91000000 | 30.75000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CPRT/history/ | |
| DBI | 5.59000000 | 5.99000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DBI/history/ | |
| IQV | 254.57000000 | 257.30000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/IQV/history/ | |
| M | 20.25000000 | 20.50000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/M/history/ | |
| NAVN | 21.39000000 | 20.26000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NAVN/history/ | |
| NET | 313.35000000 | 311.17000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NET/history/ | |
| ORCL | 158.38000000 | 152.94000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ORCL/history/ | |
| SKIL | 5.44000000 | 4.19000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SKIL/history/ | |
| SPY | 758.03000000 | 757.83000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/history/ |
Standard prompt event-gap-v7, SHA-256 e14b89e92b27113120a26506e176fe5b4bc0f66e1b1c81ec83afcf3f00efd230. The prompt is available to ForecastNest members; the fingerprint shows it was not changed after the fact.
Calculation: event-gap-v2-missing-diagnostics.