Asked Sep 30, 10:32 AM EDT (morning session). Perplexity, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Grok 4.5, DeepSeek, Muse Spark 1.1, Gemini 1.5 Pro and GPT-6 answered the same standard prompt independently. Window: from Sep 30, 10:32 AM EDT to Oct 1, 10:32 AM EDT, the same time one session later. Benchmark: SPY.
Five direction-adjusted close-to-close returns; a down call reverses the sign. The score is the mean signed return, without subtracting the benchmark. In each chart SPY is on the left and the picks on the right, every candle drawn from zero to that asset's move; ✓ marks a pick that moved the way it was called.
| Model | Correct | Hit rate | Return | SPY | Directional return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perplexity | 2/5 | 40.00% | -0.85% | -0.99% | -0.85% |
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | 4/5 | 80.00% | 2.16% | -0.99% | 2.16% |
| Grok 4.5 | 1/5 | 20.00% | -0.10% | -0.99% | -0.10% |
| DeepSeek | 2/5 | 40.00% | 0.15% | -0.99% | 0.15% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | 3/5 | 60.00% | 0.35% | -0.99% | 0.35% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | 2/5 | 40.00% | -1.26% | -0.99% | -1.26% |
| GPT-6 | 3/5 | 60.00% | -0.26% | -0.99% | -0.26% |
Perplexity
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Extreme-mover leadership is concentrated in AI infrastructure, semiconductor equipment, biotechnology and utilities. The strongest continuation candidates have substantive earnings or analyst catalysts, while sharp declines with no clearly verified fundamental catalyst offer reversal potential. Screening evidence was incomplete for several requested liquidity and market-cap fields, so those fields are omitted rather than estimated.
- FORM up — confidence 74%. Top-gainer candidate with a verified September 29 close of $136.25 and a September 30 intraday quote of $148.12, approximately 8.7% higher and refreshed at about 9:56 AM EDT. The catalyst is substantive: Deutsche Bank initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $200 target, while recent earnings showed strong HBM4, co-packaged optics and CPU demand. The move is classified as continuation because the source-session change was positive. Market capitalization and 20-day average dollar volume were not independently confirmed from the available sources and are omitted.
Return: 0.58%; alpha: 1.58%. - HPE up — confidence 68%. Major gainer candidate with a verified September 29 close of $61.49 and a September 30 premarket quote near $65.84, refreshed at approximately 9:19 AM EDT. The move appears tied to continued AI-infrastructure enthusiasm and is partly speculative because a specific company announcement was not verified. This is a reversal hypothesis because the source-session change was negative while the current indication is higher. Market capitalization and 20-day average dollar volume were not independently confirmed and are omitted.
Return: -2.30%; alpha: -1.31%. - MRNA down — confidence 62%. Large-cap loser candidate with a verified September 29 close of $203.46 and a September 30 premarket quote of $187.13, refreshed at approximately 9:19 AM EDT. The decline followed an exceptionally extended run, and available coverage described the stock as having risen too far too fast; that makes the catalyst more speculative than a verified fundamental deterioration. This is a continuation hypothesis because the source-session change was positive but the current indication is lower. Market capitalization and 20-day average dollar volume were not independently confirmed and are omitted.
Return: 5.29%; alpha: -4.30%. - CEG down — confidence 59%. Large-cap loser candidate with a verified September 29 close of $264.58 and a September 30 intraday indication near $254.23. The reported opening decline was approximately 3.9% to 5.0%, with concerns cited about clean-power delivery timelines, grid connectivity and debt costs; these are substantive sector and company risks, although no single fresh corporate announcement was verified. This is a continuation hypothesis because the source-session change was positive but the current move is lower. Market capitalization and 20-day average dollar volume were not independently confirmed and are omitted.
Return: 3.02%; alpha: -2.03%. - APP down — confidence 57%. Large-cap loser candidate with a verified September 29 close of $305.66 and a September 30 opening indication near $296.50. The decline was reported alongside weakness in digital-advertising names, but no specific fresh company catalyst was verified, making the explanation speculative. This is a continuation hypothesis because the source-session change was negative and the next-session indication was also lower. Market capitalization and 20-day average dollar volume were not independently confirmed and are omitted.
Return: -5.81%; alpha: 6.80%.
Claude Sonnet 5.5
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The source session was Tuesday 2026-09-29. Stocks were mixed with the 10-year Treasury yield near 5.29% and the 30-year near 5.6%, which is a headwind for long-duration names. Earnings and news-driven movers stood out: Carnival, Iovance and Bloom Energy on the upside, Fair Isaac and DraftKings on the downside. I could not reach a live 2026-09-30 intraday quote for any pick, so every reference_price is the 2026-09-29 regular-session close. That is about one session stale as of this answer. Micron reports after the close on 2026-09-30, and PCE inflation and jobs data are due this week, so the AI and yield trades could move sharply. Avg_dollar_volume_20d_usd is omitted for all five picks because I could not verify a 20-day average dollar volume from any source I reached.
- CCL up — confidence 55%. Source-session change was +13.4% (close $25.11), so up with continuation means direction up. The catalyst looks substantive: Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.43 beat the $1.35-1.36 consensus, revenue of $8.44B beat estimates, full-year EPS guidance was raised, and 2027 bookings and pricing are at record levels. Post-earnings drift and a low valuation multiple favor further upside. The main risks are fuel prices, geopolitical tensions, and rising yields hitting consumer discretionary names. Price is the 2026-09-29 regular-session close, about one session stale. Market cap and 20-day average dollar volume are omitted because I could not verify them, although the company is clearly large and liquid.
Return: -2.30%; alpha: -1.31%. - IOVA up — confidence 50%. Source-session change was +31.48% (close $14.45, new 52-week high), so up with continuation means direction up. The catalyst is substantive: the company raised 2026 revenue guidance to $410-420M from $350-370M, above the roughly $403M consensus, and TD Cowen lifted its price target to $16 from $10. Analyst target raises and post-guidance drift support follow-through. The risk is high: after a 30%+ one-day jump, biotech names often see profit-taking, and it is a high-short-interest name. Price is the 2026-09-29 close, about one session stale. Market cap and 20-day average dollar volume could not be verified and are omitted.
Return: 1.29%; alpha: 2.28%. - DKNG down — confidence 48%. Source-session change was -7.42% (close $19.59, a new 52-week low), so down with continuation means direction down. The move looks more speculative and sentiment-driven than substantive: sympathy with Flutter after Brazil's online betting ban, a congressional probe into prediction markets, and concern about heavy prediction-market spending. The stock is well below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, with a death cross in place. The risk is an oversold bounce, and the appeals-court ruling that sports bets are not swaps is a positive. Price is the 2026-09-29 close. Market cap was reported as just under $10B by one source. I did not record an exact figure, so market cap and 20-day average dollar volume are omitted as unconfirmed.
Return: -2.67%; alpha: 3.66%. - FICO up — confidence 42%. Source-session change was -26.52% (close $617.87), so up with reversal means direction up. The catalyst is substantive: the FHFA director announced a single Fannie/Freddie pricing grid that puts VantageScore alongside FICO Classic, and TransUnion locked in $0.99 VantageScore pricing through 2028. That threatens FICO's mortgage pricing power. I am betting on an oversold bounce after the worst one-day drop in over two years, with a 3-year low, a consensus target around $1,400, and analyst defenses. The risk is high: this is structural, Barclays cut its target to $935, and Huber downgraded to Underweight. A second down day is very possible, and one page quoted a lower price of $614 that I could not tie to a timestamp. Market cap of about $13.35B is derived from 21.60M shares outstanding (CNBC quote page) times the $617.87 close. It is not a directly quoted figure. 20-day average dollar volume could not be verified and is omitted. Price is the 2026-09-29 close.
Return: 6.49%; alpha: 7.48%. - BE down — confidence 40%. Source-session change was +11.21% (close $292.34), so down with reversal means direction down. The catalyst leans speculative: a Jefferies price-target raise to $264 (below the stock price, with a Hold rating) plus Oracle reaffirming a project, riding AI power-demand enthusiasm. It was the only double-digit gainer in a 383-name priority list. The stock traded above $300 intraday, so a fade from the highs is plausible. Yields are at multi-decade highs, and Micron reports after the close on 2026-09-30, which could swing AI-linked names either way. The risk is that AI momentum continues and squeezes a short position. Price is the 2026-09-29 close, about one session stale. Market cap and 20-day average dollar volume could not be verified and are omitted.
Return: -2.69%; alpha: 3.68%.
Grok 4.5
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Source session September 29 saw extreme moves in cruise names on strong bookings and earnings while FICO collapsed on regulatory credit-score changes; broader market closed slightly lower on elevated yields. Expect selective continuation in high-conviction fundamental winners and partial mean-reversion in the largest percentage losers amid mixed pre-market action into September 30.
- CCL up — confidence 68%. CCL rose 13.41% on September 29 after Q3 results showed record bookings and raised full-year guidance; the move is substantive rather than speculative. Continuation expected into the next session as cruise demand catalysts remain intact and volume was elevated. Latest intraday quote near $25.40 used (session open, modest further gain). Market-cap and liquidity floors confirmed at source close.
Return: -2.30%; alpha: -1.31%. - BE up — confidence 62%. BE advanced 10.80% on September 29 on manufacturing expansion and analyst support for AI/data-center power demand; catalyst is substantive. Continuation favored given backlog momentum and large-cap liquidity. Latest pre-market/intraday quote near $291–$296 range used. All three filters confirmed.
Return: -2.69%; alpha: -1.69%. - FICO up — confidence 58%. FICO fell 26.52% on September 29 after federal housing regulators altered competing credit-score rules for mortgages; the drop is substantive. Partial reversal expected as the stock traded near multi-year lows with high volume, inviting short-covering or value bids. Latest intraday quote near $595–$617 used (still down modestly). Market-cap and volume floors met.
Return: 6.49%; alpha: 7.48%. - RCL up — confidence 55%. RCL gained approximately 7.5% on September 29 alongside the cruise sector on strong booking trends; catalyst is substantive and sector-wide. Continuation anticipated as peer momentum and demand signals persist. Price and liquidity thresholds satisfied at source close; current quote taken from recent session data.
Return: -1.07%; alpha: -0.08%. - STLD up — confidence 52%. STLD declined about 3.9% on September 29 amid broader materials weakness and yield pressure; move is more macro than company-specific. Modest reversal favored given solid underlying steel demand and the relatively contained percentage drop versus extreme outliers. Liquidity and market-cap filters confirmed; current quote reflects latest available session levels.
Return: -0.93%; alpha: 0.07%.
DeepSeek
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US equities closed mixed on September 29, 2026, with the S&P 500 down 0.16% amid rising Treasury yields. Extreme movers were driven by earnings and regulatory news. We expect the selected movers to continue their directional momentum into the next session, though volatility remains elevated.
- CCL up — confidence 70%. Carnival surged 13.41% after reporting record Q3 earnings and raising full-year guidance. The catalyst is substantive, driven by better-than-expected results and strong 2027 bookings. As the top S&P 500 gainer, momentum likely continues. Risk: profit-taking after a sharp move.
Return: -2.30%; alpha: -1.31%. - FICO down — confidence 75%. Fair Isaac plunged 26.52% following the FHFA's introduction of a single pricing grid for mortgage pricing, which threatens its credit-scoring monopoly. The catalyst is substantive and negative. The stock was the worst S&P 500 performer, and continuation lower is likely as the market digests competitive threats.
Return: 6.49%; alpha: -5.49%. - IOVA up — confidence 65%. Iovance Biotherapeutics soared 31.48% after raising its FY26 revenue guidance to $410-$420 million and receiving a price target hike from H.C. Wainwright. The catalyst is substantive. Continuation is expected as analysts revise estimates upward.
Return: 1.29%; alpha: 2.28%. - LITE up — confidence 60%. Lumentum rose 5.66% on news that Nvidia's co-packaged optics ramp-up could accelerate growth, supported by a bullish analyst note. The catalyst is substantive but somewhat speculative. Continuation is likely given sector momentum.
Return: 9.31%; alpha: 10.30%. - RCL up — confidence 65%. Royal Caribbean gained 7.45%, benefiting from sector-wide optimism following Carnival's strong earnings. The catalyst is substantive, reflecting robust cruise demand. Continuation is expected as the sector re-rates higher.
Return: -1.07%; alpha: -0.08%.
Muse Spark 1.1
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September 29 session was split: large-cap indices slipped -0.17% S&P, -0.09% Nasdaq on surging long yields, while idiosyncratic catalysts drove extreme moves. Biotech and cruise were top gainers on guidance upgrades and demand, while mortgage-tech scoring and gene therapy were top losers on regulatory and clinical failures. Pre-market September 30 shows futures firmer on lower yields but still cautious into PCE/GDP at 08:30 ET and MU earnings after close, favoring mean-reversion for one-day panic sells and continuation risk for momentum biotech with raised guidance.
- IOVA up — confidence 72%. Rank 1 gainer Sep 29: +31.48% at $14.45 on 3.3M+ shares, gapping from prior close $10.99 to open $12.79 after HC Wainwright raised target to $20 from $9. Catalyst is substantive: raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $410-420M from $350-370M on Amtagvi demand. Price $14.45 meets $5 floor, market cap ~ $6.3B meets $1B, average volume 16.7M shares ~ $180M+ dollar volume meets $20M. Using delayed intraday quote $14.45 as reference, data_date 2026-09-29 close, slightly stale but latest verified. Previous change +31.48% continuation thesis: momentum + guidance revision typically carries one more session, though up >30% raises reversal risk. Source for move and price: Zacks and TradingNews.
Return: 1.29%; alpha: 2.28%. - BE up — confidence 68%. Rank 2 gainer Sep 29: Bloom Energy closed up +10.8% at $291.25, intraday high $302.25, volume 23.69M shares far above average, after Jefferies raised target to $264 from $229. Catalyst substantive: AI data center distributed power backlog, with $77-85B market cap. Price $291.25 meets $5, market cap $74.5B to $79.3B meets $1B, 20-day avg vol 16.3M shares x ~$270 = ~$4.4B dollar volume meets $20M. Using Sep 29 regular close $291.25 as reference, latest verified before Sep 30 open. Previous change +10.8% continuation thesis: data center power demand narrative still hot, pre-market Sep 30 shows GLD and growth bounce but BE not yet faded.
Return: -2.69%; alpha: -1.69%. - CCL down — confidence 60%. Rank 3 gainer Sep 29: Carnival +13.55% at $25.14, close verified $25.11 at 4:30pm ET Sep 29. Catalyst is speculative/momentum: cruise sector bid with RCL +7.47% same day, no company-specific news cited, just sector rotation. Price $25.11 meets $5, market cap $34.39B meets $1B, dollar volume 3.8M shares x $25 = $95M meets $20M. Using Sep 29 close $25.11 as reference, data_date 2026-09-29. Previous change +13.41% reversal thesis: outsized one-day cruise move without fundamental news often mean-reverts next session, especially with Russell 2000 -0.44% and consumer softness noted.
Return: -2.30%; alpha: 3.30%. - FICO up — confidence 65%. Rank 1 loser Sep 29: Fair Isaac fell -26.52% to $617.87 close, gapped down from $840.89 prior close to $668.08 open after FHFA announced unified mortgage pricing grid opening Fannie/Freddie loans to VantageScore competition. Catalyst substantive: loss of scoring monopoly, BofA cut to Neutral. Price $617.87 meets $5, market cap ~ $20.8B down to ~$15.4B after drop meets $1B, trading turnover $3.1B on day far exceeds $20M avg. Using Sep 29 close $617.87 as latest verified quote, data_date 2026-09-29. Previous change -26.52% reversal thesis: panic sell on regulatory news often sees short-term bounce as $595.19 low tested, down 62% YTD already oversold, while continuation risk remains due to structural moat loss.
Return: 6.49%; alpha: 7.48%. - QURE up — confidence 62%. Rank 2 loser Sep 29: uniQure fell -37.33% to $24.51 at close Sep 29 4pm ET on 29.6M shares after AMT-130 Huntington's 48-month data showed smaller benefit than 3-year. Catalyst substantive: clinical efficacy fade, prompted legal investigations. Price $24.51 meets $5, market cap ~ $2.7B meets $1B, average dollar volume last month $61.479M meets $20M. Using Sep 29 close $24.51 as reference, latest verified, data_date 2026-09-29. Previous change -37.33% reversal thesis: biotech crash on single dataset often sees dead-cat bounce next session as shorts cover, though continuation down is possible if benefit erosion seen as program-ending.
Return: -5.64%; alpha: -4.65%.
Gemini 1.5 Pro
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On September 30, 2026, the US stock market is navigating a complex landscape defined by elevated crude oil prices and geopolitical uncertainties. The prior session on September 29 saw notable sector divergence, with travel and leisure names like Carnival and Royal Caribbean staging robust rallies, while tech and analytics firms like Fair Isaac faced significant sell-offs. Investors are currently weighing substantive valuation metrics against speculative momentum, resulting in sharp intraday reversals and outsized single-day moves across major indices.
- CCL up — confidence 75%. Carnival Corporation surged 13.4% during the source session on September 29 [1.2.2], driven by stronger-than-expected momentum in the travel and leisure sector and potentially short-covering as highlighted by unusual call option volume. A continuation of this upward trajectory is expected today, despite broader market headwinds. The catalyst appears substantive, as value investors are drawn to the stock's relatively attractive valuation, trading near a 5-year median P/E. The reference price is sourced from a live intraday quote on September 30.
Return: -2.30%; alpha: -1.31%. - FICO down — confidence 70%. Fair Isaac tumbled 26.5% during the source session on September 29, placing it at the top of the S&P 500 losers list. This massive sell-off stems from substantive concerns over new competition in mortgage scoring and deteriorating technical indicators, including a bearish Aroon downward trend identified recently. With the stock breaking critical technical support levels, we expect a continuation to the downside in today's session. The quoted price reflects recent delayed data.
Return: 6.49%; alpha: -5.49%. - BE down — confidence 65%. Bloom Energy spiked 10.8% on September 29. Given its expensive valuation multiples and a massive 313% market cap expansion over the past year, this speculative move is highly susceptible to profit-taking. Despite strong revenue growth, the stock exhibits extreme volatility with a 20-day average volume of 17.36 million shares. We anticipate a mean-reverting reversal down as the initial catalyst fades. The current price is based on a live intraday quote.
Return: -2.69%; alpha: 3.68%. - RCL down — confidence 60%. Royal Caribbean gained 7.5% on September 29, catching a sympathetic bid alongside its peer Carnival in the cruise line sector. However, the stock has struggled with overhead resistance and remains down over 11% year-to-date. We view the previous session's bump as a speculative bounce rather than a sustainable trend change, anticipating a reversal to the downside as broad market sentiment remains cautious on highly leveraged names. The quote is based on the most recent market data.
Return: -1.07%; alpha: 2.07%. - IOVA down — confidence 60%. Iovance Biotherapeutics skyrocketed 31.5% in the prior session, continuing robust momentum that brought its one-month return to over 80%. The company is trading on high revenue growth optimism despite remaining unprofitable at the operating income level. Such explosive, speculative rallies in the biotech space frequently invite immediate profit-taking once the momentum peaks. We expect a reversal and lower close in today's target session. The price reflects the most recently verified close.
Return: 1.29%; alpha: -0.29%.
GPT-6
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The source-session date was not explicitly supplied; September 29 is inferred as the preceding completed session. Selections come from reported gainers and losers, with regular-session changes verified against historical prices. Hypotheses are classified solely against those September 29 changes. The explicit timestamp window takes precedence over the conflicting close-to-close wording: forecasts concern additional movement through October 1 at 14:32 UTC. Dollar-volume figures are calculated as the mean of daily close multiplied by share volume across the 20 completed sessions ending September 29; they are close-based turnover estimates. Exact September 29 market caps were verified for CCL and KMX. For the other three, retrieved September 30 market caps are reported with their actual dates; their exact source-close capitalizations remain unverified. Realized directional returns and the fraction correct cannot be calculated before the window ends.
- IOVA up — confidence 62%. Ranked first because September 29's 31.48% gain followed a substantive company guidance increase rather than an unsupported rumor. The SEC-filed release raised expected 2026 revenue to $410–420 million from $350–370 million, citing therapy demand. Guidance remains an expectation, not realized revenue. I expect further upward repricing, classified as continuation of the positive source-session change. Profit taking after the large rally, manufacturing constraints and commercialization costs are risks. The latest retrieved intraday quote was $14.91 at 15:17 UTC, labeled real-time. The source-session close was $14.45. The reported market cap is dated September 30; the exact September 29 cap could not be verified.
Return: 1.29%; alpha: 2.28%. - FICO down — confidence 61%. Ranked second because the September 29 decline of 26.52% reflects a substantive competitive and regulatory threat. Reporting describes mortgage pricing changes accommodating VantageScore and Rocket Mortgage's preference for that competing model. Further pressure on expected pricing power could extend the decline; down is continuation relative to the negative source-session change. Actual revenue damage remains uncertain, and panic selling could produce a sharp short-covering rebound. The latest retrieved intraday quote was $608.15 at 15:16 UTC, labeled real-time. The source-session close was $617.87. September 30 market capitalization was verified, but the exact September 29 cap was unavailable.
Return: 6.49%; alpha: -5.49%. - CCL up — confidence 60%. Ranked third because September 29's 13.41% gain was supported by substantive reported earnings, record bookings and an improved outlook. The company release supports the demand thesis; bookings are observed, while future earnings remain uncertain. I expect further buying as investors digest the report, making up a continuation of the positive source-session change. Higher fuel costs, financing costs and profit taking could interrupt that continuation. The newest retrieved intraday quote was $25.31 at 15:05 UTC, labeled real-time and approximately 15 minutes old during research. September 29's $25.11 close and $33.76 billion reported capitalization passed the source-session floors.
Return: -2.30%; alpha: -1.31%. - BE down — confidence 57%. Ranked fourth because September 29's 10.80% rebound followed an 8.95% decline the preceding session, suggesting unstable sentiment. Reporting links the rebound partly to a Fremont manufacturing expansion. A facility purchase is substantive, but extrapolating it into near-term orders or profits is speculative. I expect further retracement from the current quote, classified as reversal of September 29's positive change. Today's decline is already observed and is excluded from the forecast. AI enthusiasm could restore buying quickly. The latest retrieved intraday quote was $280.59 at 15:15 UTC, labeled real-time. The source close was $291.25; the retrieved capitalization is dated September 30, and the exact source-close cap remains unverified.
Return: -2.69%; alpha: 3.68%. - KMX down — confidence 54%. Ranked fifth because the substantive earnings improvement supports the business, but the source-session rally faded substantially from its intraday high. September 29 EPS of $1.16 is reported fact; sustained turnaround progress is an expectation. I expect additional selling from the current quote as investors reassess the rally, making down a reversal of September 29's 4.74% gain. The decline already recorded today is excluded. Improved earnings, share repurchases and lower yields could instead attract bargain buyers. The latest retrieved intraday quote was $56.38 at 15:07 UTC, labeled real-time and approximately 13 minutes old during research. September 29's $59.23 close and $8.41 billion reported capitalization passed the source-session floors.
Return: -3.50%; alpha: 4.49%.
How models have done in Extreme Movers
ForecastNest's own settled Extreme Movers runs at this horizon, up to and including this one. Members' own research is not counted. Runs created after their scoring window began, or with an unverified start time, are excluded. The chart is the average directional return per run. A bar drawn pale is inside its own sample noise -- the runs behind it scatter too widely for that average to separate from zero -- so read the ordering as provisional until the record is deep enough to carry it. The table below adds how many of the five directions were called correctly, which is a steadier measure on a short record because it counts several picks a run rather than one result.
Chart note — “within noise”: The pale bar means the observed average is not clearly separated from zero by this chart's rule, or there is not enough information to assess it. A solid bar requires an average at least two standard errors from zero (standard error = sample standard deviation ÷ √runs). Fewer than two runs, missing variability, or zero measured variability remain pale. This is a rough uncertainty indicator, not proof of no effect or a guarantee of future performance.
| Model | Runs | Avg directions called correctly | Avg directional return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | 2 | 80.00% | +1.97% |
| DeepSeek | 11 | 49.09% | +1.57% |
| Gemini 3 Pro | 1 | 80.00% | +1.33% |
| Perplexity | 4 | 50.00% | +0.79% |
| Grok 4 | 2 | 50.00% | +0.31% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | 10 | 40.00% | +0.05% |
| Claude Opus 5 | 6 | 60.00% | +0.03% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | 9 | 48.89% | -0.33% |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | 2 | 30.00% | -0.39% |
| Grok 4.5 | 7 | 34.29% | -0.52% |
| GPT-6 | 4 | 45.00% | -2.68% |
| GPT-5.6 Sol | 5 | 52.00% | -4.68% |
View settlement prices
| Symbol | Start | End | Source | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APP | 300.23500000 | 282.79500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/APP/history/ | |
| BE | 286.25000000 | 278.55730000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BE/history/ | |
| CCL | 25.17500000 | 24.59500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CCL/history/ | |
| CEG | 254.06000000 | 261.74500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CEG/history/ | |
| DKNG | 19.40730000 | 18.89000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DKNG/history/ | |
| FICO | 602.42000000 | 641.50500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/FICO/history/ | |
| FORM | 146.95500000 | 147.81000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/FORM/history/ | |
| HPE | 64.45000000 | 62.96500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/HPE/history/ | |
| IOVA | 14.39500000 | 14.58000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/IOVA/history/ | |
| KMX | 56.60000000 | 54.62000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/KMX/history/ | |
| LITE | 949.61000000 | 1038.00000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/LITE/history/ | |
| MRNA | 189.72500000 | 199.76230000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MRNA/history/ | |
| QURE | 25.61000000 | 24.16550000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/QURE/history/ | |
| RCL | 267.79000000 | 264.91500000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/RCL/history/ | |
| SPY | 768.12000000 | 760.49000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/history/ | |
| STLD | 224.31750000 | 222.24000000 | https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/STLD/history/ |
Standard prompt extreme-movers-v11, SHA-256 77f16e7310275e2e1700597bfab60eb19c78163081dcc90b24eee33b4960373a. The prompt is available to ForecastNest members; the fingerprint shows it was not changed after the fact.
Calculation: extreme-movers-v1.