This is ForecastNest’s 1 day forecast for SOXL, created 2026-09-04 02:29 UTC. The window closed 2026-09-04 20:00 UTC, when SOXL closed at $117.52, up 10.0% from $106.82 when the forecast was made. It traded between $109.75 and $118.18 along the way (+2.7% to +10.6%).
Prediction window: Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.
Prediction time: 2026-09-04 02:29 UTC (9/3/2026, 10:29:44 PM EDT).
Valid until: 2026-09-04 20:00 UTC (9/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM EDT). Target session: 2026-09-04 (New York); Session close. Lead time to expiry: 17.5 elapsed hours. Timing: Overnight. Based on stored prediction time, not verified model execution time.
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8 of the 8 models called a direction, and 4 of those calls were right. Each model is also asked to find the price it was forecasting from when it answers, shown as the dashed line inside its box in the picture below. Every model found it accurately.
Below are the details.
| Model | Range | Move | Confidence | Price it found | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Luna (ChatGPT — GPT-5) | $96.00–$114.50 | -9.8% to +7.5% | 76% | $106.48 | 11.2 | wrong |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro (Gemini — Pro) | $96.00–$118.00 | -10.1% to +10.5% | 60% | $106.74 | 80.2 | right |
| Grok 4.5 | $97.00–$117.00 | -9.1% to +9.6% | 38% | $106.74 | 77.6 | right |
| DeepSeek-R1 | $98.00–$115.00 | -8.2% to +7.7% | 45% | $106.74 | 10.3 | wrong |
| claude-opus-5 | $95.00–$117.00 | -11.0% to +9.6% | 42% | $106.74 | 10.7 | wrong |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro (Gemini — Flash) | $96.00–$118.00 | -10.1% to +10.5% | 60% | $106.74 | 80.2 | right |
| Claude Sonnet 5 (claude-sonnet-5) | $97.50–$116.50 | -8.6% to +9.3% | 39% | $106.62 | 77.5 | right |
| GPT-5.6 Luna (ChatGPT — GPT-4o) | $96.00–$114.50 | -9.8% to +7.5% | 76% | $106.48 | 11.2 | wrong |
How these models have done on SOXL over 1 day
This forecast is settled and is included in the statistics below. The remaining records are forecasts created before 2026-09-04 02:29 UTC. Only settled directional calls count toward accuracy.
| Model | Asked | Still open | No call | Called up | Called down | Right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 1.5 Pro (Gemini — Flash) | 1 | — | 0 | 1 · 1 right | — | 100% (1/1) |
| Claude Sonnet 5 (claude-sonnet-5) | 1 | — | 0 | 1 · 1 right | — | 100% (1/1) |
| Grok 4.5 | 6 | — | 0 | 5 · 4 right | 1 · 0 right | 67% (4/6) |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro (Gemini — Pro) | 6 | — | 0 | 2 · 2 right | 4 · 1 right | 50% (3/6) |
| GPT-5.6 Luna (ChatGPT — GPT-5) | 6 | — | 1 | 1 · 0 right | 4 · 1 right | 20% (1/5) |
| claude-opus-5 | 5 | — | 0 | — | 5 · 1 right | 20% (1/5) |
| DeepSeek-R1 | 6 | — | 0 | 2 · 1 right | 4 · 0 right | 17% (1/6) |
| GPT-5.6 Luna (ChatGPT — GPT-4o) | 1 | — | 0 | — | 1 · 0 right | 0% (0/1) |
Every published SOXL forecast these models made over 1 day before this question was asked, on 2026-09-04 02:29 UTC, plus this settled forecast. Forecasts created after this question are excluded. Results reflect the settlements available when this article is generated. A day-ahead call and a week-ahead one are counted separately — they are different questions. Only settled forecasts are graded, so open + no call + up + down adds up to asked. “No call” is a range too centred on the price to be pointing anywhere. Accuracy counts only forecasts that have settled, and the count behind it is shown beside it — a single right call is not a 100% record.
What each model said
GPT-5.6 Luna (ChatGPT — GPT-5)
Result: wrong
View full reasoning
(1) Market regime: SOXL's September 3 regular-session close was about $106.8, up roughly 0.4%, after an unusually wide $98.62-$107.49 session. Zacks reported SOXL at $106.48 at 7:58 PM ET, which is after the requested 22:29 UTC window start and is therefore the live price anchor. Source: Zacks and ChartExchange. ([Zacks][1])
(2) Technical synthesis: The immediate rebound remains constructive, but the larger technical structure is damaged. SOXL has fallen about 13% over the past week and remains below its 50-day moving average; ChartExchange places the 200-day average near $108.08, making the current $106.48 area a technically important test. The extreme historical beta of roughly 7.7-8.3 also means ordinary semiconductor moves are amplified substantially in SOXL. Source: ChartExchange. ([ChartExchange][2])
(3) Price range: I estimate a one-day range of $96.00-$114.50. The downside accommodates a retest of today's $98.62 low, while the upper boundary allows a recovery through the $108 area toward the $112-$115 zone seen during the recent trading range. The unusually large intraday swings on September 3 and SOXL's 3x daily exposure justify a substantially wider range than for an unleveraged semiconductor ETF. Source: ChartExchange. ([ChartExchange][3])
(4) Catalysts: The dominant catalyst inside the forecast window is Friday's August U.S. employment report. Reuters reported that markets were awaiting the report after Fed Governor Christopher Waller's comments reduced the implied probability of a September rate hike from 63.2% to about 50.4%; weaker or benign labor data could further support technology valuations, while stronger inflationary implications could reverse today's rally. Broadcom's earnings remain an important semiconductor sentiment factor: the company reported strong AI-chip demand but its shares fell after its outlook prompted concerns about expectations. Sources: Reuters and MarketWatch. ([Reuters][4])
(5) Counter-argument: The strongest bullish argument is that the semiconductor sector can rebound violently after a sharp washout, and Nvidia and other major technology shares participated in Thursday's broader risk-on move. The strongest bearish argument is that Broadcom declined despite strong results, while SOXL remains below major trend averages and oil prices remain elevated amid geopolitical tensions. A renewed semiconductor-sector decline would quickly overwhelm the recent rebound because of SOXL's leverage.
(6) Confidence: Confidence is 76% because the current price is firmly established from a post-window live quote and today's intraday data show a clear recovery from below $100. Nevertheless, the one-day directional evidence is conflicted: falling yields and stronger technology leadership favor a rebound, while the Friday jobs report and the damaged semiconductor trend create substantial downside volatility. I therefore keep the 1d signal mildly bearish despite a mildly bullish 4h setup, with a wider-than-normal forecast range.
Gemini 1.5 Pro (Gemini — Pro)
Result: right
View full reasoning
(1) Data sourced from financial platforms including Investing.com and live market feeds confirms SOXL closed the regular trading session and subsequent after-hours trading near $106.74 on Thursday, September 3, 2026.
(2) The current market regime is characterized by a tense, low-conviction holding pattern. After a sharp early-September semiconductor sell-off, institutional volume has dried up, leaving the sector consolidating sideways as participants await definitive macroeconomic signals.
(3) The price range of $96.00-$118.00 accommodates the extreme intraday volatility typical of a 3X leveraged product during a major macro event. The downside boundary allows for a rapid liquidation toward psychological support in the mid-$90s if selling resumes, while the upside target permits a leveraged relief squeeze toward late August resistance.
(4) The dominant scheduled catalyst inside this 24-hour window is the release of the August US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday morning. This singular data point will heavily influence the Federal Reserve's near-term interest rate trajectory and drive immediate, high-volume directional flows in rate-sensitive tech equities.
(5) The strongest counter-argument to a neutral, range-bound forecast is the binary nature of the NFP report. If the data threads the needle with a
Grok 4.5
Result: right
View full reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Thursday 3 Sep 2026 close was $106.74 (up 0.37% from Wednesday’s $106.35), day range $98.62-$107.49, volume ~54-55M, per FT.com, MarketWatch, Schwab, ChartExchange and Investing.com. After-hours held near $106.35-$106.51. Prior closes: 2 Sep $106.35, 1 Sep $105.91.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: Modest positive close for the 3x leveraged semiconductor ETF amid a broader market rebound. Intraday volatility remained elevated with a wide range, consistent with the product’s high beta and recent swings in the semiconductor complex.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored to the $106.74 Thursday close. Recent daily ranges of $6-15+ and extreme 3x leverage imply potential 1-day moves of 8-12% or more. Lower bound near $97 allows for a retest of the session low area; upper bound near $117 covers a stronger continuation. Range is modestly wider on the downside given residual sector pressure.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: No major semiconductor-specific events for Friday 4 Sep. Broader market follow-through from Thursday’s rebound and any overnight geopolitical or rate-related news remain the primary drivers for this high-beta product.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: Renewed risk-off pressure in tech/semis could push SOXL below $97; stronger risk appetite could drive a break above $117. Sustained trade outside the stated range on volume would overturn the mild bullish lean.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Live Thursday close is confirmed, yet 3x leveraged ETFs produce large path-dependent noise on single-day horizons; absence of stock-specific catalysts and recent sharp swings keep conviction moderate-to-low.
DeepSeek-R1
Result: wrong
View full reasoning
(1) Current price and data sources: At the forecast window start (2026-09-04 02:29 UTC), SOXL is in after-hours trading. The official closing price for September 3, 2026 (Thursday) was $106.74. The day’s range was $98.62-$107.49 on volume of 55.09 million shares. No reliable real-time quote is available for the overnight period, so I anchor to the regular session close. The 52-week range is $23.80-$302.00.
(2) Current market regime: SOXL remains in a deep correction from its June high of $302.00, with a peak-to-trough drop of roughly 65%. Despite nearly $7 billion in net inflows over July-August, the technical picture is heavily bearish: daily and weekly indicators flash
claude-opus-5
Result: wrong
View full reasoning
(1) What I found, and where: The window opens 2026-09-04 02:29 UTC - 10:29 PM ET Wednesday night into Friday's session - which falls after US extended trading has closed, so the last live mark stands. StockAnalysis.com quotes SOXL at $106.74 as of Sep 3, 4:00 PM EDT, up $0.39 (+0.37%) from $106.35, on 55.1M shares, with a day range of $98.62-$107.49 and a 52-week range of $23.98-$302.00; the final after-hours print, at 8:00 PM EDT (00:00 UTC Sept 4), was $106.43 (-0.29%). Since after-hours trading ends at 8:00 PM ET and the baseline is 2.5 hours later, no SOXL prints exist between those two figures and the window start - I re-fetched to confirm nothing had moved. That day range is the headline: $98.62 to $107.49 is a 9.0% swing, and it was the second consecutive session where SOXL was marked sharply lower in the morning (around $101 pre-market), broke to a new low, and was bought back hard into the close. Thursday's broad tape: SPY closed $773.17 (+1.05%), the S&P 500 at 7,739.78 (+1.06%) per Trading Economics, the Nasdaq +1.41% and Dow +1.20% (The Motley Fool), after the 10-year fell about 5 basis points to 4.75% on Fed Governor Christopher Waller's remark that he would "lean toward holding rates steady unless there are any major inflation surprises." Inside semis the split was stark: Nvidia +1.8% and Intel +1.8%, but Broadcom -2.7% after Wednesday's report, which beat on revenue ($29.591B, +86%) and EPS ($3.32 versus $3.24) but carried Q4 guidance the market read as light. Thursday data: jobless claims 206,000 against a 205,000 forecast and a revised 204,000 prior; Challenger job cuts 52,881, up 58% month over month. The decisive forward item, from Benzinga's Sept 3 preview: August payrolls consensus near 56,000 against July's negative 23,000, unemployment expected at 4.1%, wages moderating to 3.0% year over year - and CME FedWatch now at a 50-50 split between a pause and a 25bp hike on September 16, down from 68-70% earlier in the week. I searched again for an actual payrolls result and for overnight Asian semiconductor news; I found only previews and stale articles, so the number has not printed as of this writing.
(2) Market regime: Two facts define this setup and they cut against each other. First, semiconductors got almost nothing out of the best macro day of the week. SOXL's +0.37% implies the underlying index rose roughly 0.12%, against a Nasdaq up 1.41% - so on the one session where falling yields produced a broad rally, the sector supposedly most sensitive to rates was left behind. Broadcom's decline explains much of that as a weight effect rather than a demand signal, given Nvidia and Intel both rose, but the outcome is still conspicuous relative weakness on the most favourable backdrop available. Second, buyers keep appearing violently at the lows: two consecutive V-shaped reversals, off $101.34 Wednesday on 46.9M shares and off $98.62 Thursday on 55.1M, both closing green. Put those together with the net result and the real characterisation emerges - $105.91, then $106.35, then $106.74. Three sessions, essentially no net progress, with intraday ranges near 6%, 6.6% and 9.0%. That is enormous churn without direction, a tape where neither side has taken control and where the instrument itself is the principal casualty. The macro premise has genuinely shifted underneath it: hike odds collapsing from near 70% to a coin flip in two days on one governor's comment is a material easing of the pressure that caused last week's selloff, and it is plausibly why the lows are being defended.
(3) Price range: Anchored to $106.74, and placed close to symmetrically because I am declaring no directional view for the session. Sizing has to respect what this product has actually done: realised ranges of roughly 6% Tuesday, 6.6% Wednesday and 9.0% Thursday put baseline daily sigma near 7%, and this window contains both the August payrolls release and the full session reacting to it, pushing effective sigma toward 8-9%. The band is $95.00 to $117.00, or -11.0% and +9.6%. That is wide on purpose - a tighter band would look precise and be wrong when Thursday alone traversed 9%. The lower bound sits beneath Thursday's $98.62 low, the level defended twice this week, and into the open space below it. The upper bound clears Thursday's $107.49 high and reaches through Monday's $112.79 close toward the $110.21/$110.33 shelf that broke on Tuesday, which is roughly what a genuinely dovish print would need to produce. The modest downward tilt is not a call on semiconductors; it reflects the decay described in section six.
(4) Catalysts in the window: One dominates everything. The August employment report lands Friday at 8:30 AM ET, inside this window, with the entire session's reaction also inside it. Consensus is near 56,000 with unemployment at 4.1% and wages at 3.0%, against a July print of negative 23,000 with prior months revised down. Benzinga's framing of the reaction function is unusually explicit and worth stating: a "decisive trifecta - stronger payrolls, lower unemployment, and hotter wages" would make the September hike "a done deal," strong data currently reads as risk-off rather than risk-on, only about a third of surveyed investors expect a rally on strong labour data, and a minor miss is unlikely to move much either way. With FedWatch at 50-50, this print carries more marginal information than usual. Alongside it, the Broadcom guidance question keeps working through the complex - Marvell, AMD and Nvidia are the usual sympathy names - and Gulf headlines remain live with Brent near $97. The September 11 CPI report and the September 16 FOMC sit outside this window but govern how much risk anyone carries through Friday's close.
(5) Counter-argument and invalidation: Since I am NEUTRAL on the day, both cases deserve stating. For a bullish resolution: hike odds have halved in two days, yields are falling, the lows have been bought aggressively twice on heavy volume, the sector drag was one stock's guidance rather than a demand signal, and every labour indicator this week points toward a print that under the current inverted mapping is supportive. For a bearish one: semis conspicuously failed to participate in a 1%-plus index rally on the most favourable rate day of the week, Broadcom's guidance is a genuine datapoint that the AI-capex bar has risen, three sessions of violent churn with no net progress is not accumulation, and a strong payrolls print would hit the longest-duration sector hardest with the hike question at a true coin flip. What resolves it: a reclaim of $110.33 would say Tuesday's breakdown was false and the sector has turned; a break of $98.62 on volume above Thursday's 55.1M would say the twice-defended floor has failed and would have justified a bearish call I chose not to make.
(6) Confidence: 42%. The three shortest horizons are NEUTRAL as a decision, not a hedge: this window is defined by a scheduled release whose outcome I cannot forecast, whose sign flips the equity response, and whose reaction function is explicitly non-linear on the current framing - naming a direction across that on a 3x instrument would be manufacturing one. The MILD BEARISH at 7 and 30 days rests on something I hold with more conviction than any view about semiconductors, and I want to be precise that it is a claim about the instrument rather than the sector. A daily-reset 3x product carries mechanical negative drift proportional to realised variance, and this tape is producing 6-9% daily ranges with no net movement - the most concentrated possible form of that drag. The evidence sits in the numbers already cited: the underlying index is roughly 21% below its 52-week high while SOXL at $106.74 is about 65% below its own $302.00 high. That gap is the decay, and it compounds every day the churn persists, whichever way the index eventually resolves. Layered on top are the dated risks - a September 11 CPI print with Brent near $97 and a September 16 FOMC at a genuine 50-50, inside the weakest month of the seasonal calendar. On the fields about me: this session reports the model as Opus 5 with exact identifier claude-opus-5, which is what I state rather than inferring a marketing name. On the timestamp I can bound rather than pin: my newest data is the 00:00 UTC Sept 4 after-hours print and I could find no payrolls result, placing me after 00:00 UTC and before the 12:30 UTC release; I have written 02:45 UTC within that bracket and it should be read as approximate.
Gemini 1.5 Pro (Gemini — Flash)
Result: right
View full reasoning
(1) Data sourced from financial market feeds including MarketChameleon and Google Finance confirms SOXL closed the regular trading session at $106.74 on Thursday, September 3, 2026, recovering from an intraday low of $98.66.
(2) The current market regime is characterized by high-volatility sideways consolidation following a steep multi-week decline in semiconductor equities. Institutional volume remains constrained as market participants digest mixed economic data and prepare for upcoming macroeconomic releases.
(3) The price range of $96.00-$118.00 reflects the high daily implied volatility of a 3X leveraged ETF. The lower bound allows for a retest of the September 3 intraday low near $98.66 with potential downside slippage, while the upper bound targets key technical resistance near the $118 level.
(4) Inside this 24-hour window, the primary catalyst is the release of the August US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday morning. As a highly rate-sensitive asset, semiconductor equities will react sharply to employment numbers and their implications for Federal Reserve monetary policy.
(5) The strongest counter-argument to a neutral outlook is the potential for an extreme NFP print. A substantially weaker or stronger than expected jobs report could trigger an aggressive directional move, driving a leveraged breakout above $118 or a breakdown through the $96 support zone.
(6) Confidence is set at 60% due to the binary event risk posed by the NFP release, as 3X leveraged ETFs experience amplified price swings in response to major macroeconomic announcements.
Claude Sonnet 5 (claude-sonnet-5)
Result: right
View full reasoning
(1) What I found, and where: SOXL closed the September 3 regular session at $106.58 (+0.22% on the day), inside an unusually wide $98.62-$107.49 range on ~49.6M shares (stockanalysis.com). After-hours trading printed a VWAP of $106.62 in a tight $106.25-$106.79 band on modest volume (~379K shares) before after-hours closed around 00:00 UTC (marketchameleon.com); no fresher print exists between then and this 02:29 UTC window start, so I'm anchoring current_price to that last after-hours VWAP as the most current live figure available.
(2) Current market regime: the tape is dominated by a single-name margin story rather than a sector-wide repricing. Broadcom fell 6% on September 3 despite a 221% AI-revenue surge, because Q4 revenue guidance missed and gross margin compressed to 73% from 78% a year ago as custom-accelerator/HBM content mixes in (247wallst.com). Nvidia still gained 1% on the read that Broadcom's $350B two-year hyperscaler backlog validates AI capex strength, AMD slipped 2% on margin-contagion worry, and the broad SOXX index fell only about 1% - explicitly described as company-specific rather than a rerating of AI infrastructure (247wallst.com). Separately, the September 16 FOMC probability distribution (CME-derived, via investing.com's Fed Rate Monitor) now shows roughly 60% odds of a hold at 3.75-4.00% versus ~40% odds of a cut to 3.50-3.75% - a modestly dovish-leaning setup compared with the more hawkish debate earlier in the week.
(3) Price range justification: from the $106.62 anchor, I'm using an effective one-day sigma near 8-9%, consistent with SOXL's realized behavior this week (multiple 4-9% single-session ETF swings on a leveraged 3x semiconductor book) and the fact that a market-moving data print falls inside this window. That produces a band of roughly $97.50 on the downside to $116.50 on the upside - close to symmetric, with only a slight upside tilt reflecting the net-neutral-to-mildly-constructive cross-currents (sector resilience, dovish-leaning Fed pricing) against the still-live Broadcom margin overhang.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: the August non-farm payrolls report is due at 8:30am ET / 12:30 UTC on September 4 - squarely inside this forecast window - and had not printed as of this analysis. This is the dominant near-term catalyst: a much-stronger-than-expected print would likely pull Fed cut odds back down (rate-sensitive/leveraged-long headwind), while a much-weaker print could either support cut odds (near-term relief) or reignite growth-scare selling if it reads as labor-market deterioration rather than just rate-path news. Secondary watch items are continued Broadcom-guidance digestion and any pre-market read-through from other custom-silicon suppliers.
(5) Strongest counter-argument and invalidation: the case against a neutral 1-day stance is that SOXX's muted 1% reaction to Broadcom, plus Nvidia's gain, argues sentiment is still constructive enough that a benign payrolls print could push SOXL toward the upper half of the range quickly. My NEUTRAL call would be invalidated if payrolls prints close to consensus with no surprise (removing the binary-outcome ambiguity I'm pricing) or if SOXL breaks decisively out of the $98.62-$107.49 recent range on above-average volume before the print, since either would resolve the ambiguity this call is built on. The 7d MILD BULLISH read would be invalidated by a hawkish repricing (cut odds falling sharply) or a broadening of the Broadcom margin concern into NVDA/other bellwethers.
(6) Confidence justification: 39% reflects a genuinely two-sided setup - sector fundamentals and Fed positioning lean mildly constructive over the next week, but the payrolls release sitting inside the very next several hours makes the 1h/4h/1d calls close to a coin flip on direction while still carrying outsized magnitude risk given SOXL's 3x leverage, which is why the price range stays wide even though the signal itself is NEUTRAL.
GPT-5.6 Luna (ChatGPT — GPT-4o)
Result: wrong
View full reasoning
(1) Market regime: Zacks reported SOXL at $106.48 at 7:58 PM ET on September 3, which is 23:58 UTC and therefore just before the requested timestamp. ChartExchange shows the September 3 close at $106.82, with a $98.64-$107.49 session range and 54.4 million shares traded. The ETF therefore enters the window after a volatile recovery from below $100. Sources: Zacks and ChartExchange.
(2) Technical synthesis: The rebound is constructive over very short horizons, but the broader setup remains mixed. SOXL remains below the 50-day trend area around $111 and close to the 200-day region, while recent price action has produced several large swings. Because SOXL targets 3x the daily performance of its semiconductor benchmark, sector momentum can translate into unusually large ETF moves. Sources: ChartExchange and Direxion fund documentation.
(3) Price range: I estimate a one-day range of $96.00-$114.50. The lower bound allows another test of the September 3 low near $98.64, with additional room for a volatility overshoot; the upper bound allows a move through the $108 area toward the $111-$114 zone where recent trading and moving-average resistance become more important. The range is deliberately wide because September 3 itself covered nearly $9 from low to high.
(4) Catalysts: The largest catalyst is the August U.S. employment report scheduled for September 4 at 8:30 a.m. ET, confirmed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Reuters reports economists expect about 56,000 payroll gains and a 4.1% unemployment rate. ADP reported only 38,000 private-sector jobs added in August, while Fed Governor Christopher Waller's comments recently reduced the market-implied probability of a September rate hike to roughly 50%, creating sensitivity to the official payroll result. Sources: BLS and Reuters.
(5) Counter-argument: The strongest bullish case is that softer labor data could reinforce expectations for easier monetary policy while semiconductor and AI demand remains robust. The strongest bearish case is that Broadcom fell sharply after earnings despite strong AI-chip revenue, showing how elevated semiconductor expectations can still produce negative reactions; oil prices also remain above $90 amid geopolitical tensions. A renewed sector-wide risk-off move would be amplified by SOXL's daily leverage.
(6) Confidence: Confidence is 76% because the current price is based on a genuinely recent post-market quote and the technical volatility is unmistakable. I keep the 1d signal mildly bearish rather than bullish because the ETF is still below important trend areas and the employment report is an immediate binary macro catalyst. The 4h rebound remains mildly bullish, while the 7d bias stays mildly bearish until the broader semiconductor trend improves.
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